Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: Major League Soccer

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 00:30 Regular Season - 30
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
15th in table
WLDLL
1 VS 3
Finished
HT 1 - 2
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
12th in table
LWLDW
11' Morgan Guilavogui
14' Sergi Solans
26' Taylor Calheira
45+1' Luc De Fougerolles
61' Morgan Guilavogui
72' Juan Sanabria
74' Calvin Harris
76' Jacob Bartlett
90+1' Chadwick Zachary Booth
90+1' Stijn Spierings
90+2' Jansen Miller

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.44 (72% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or Real Salt Lake
72% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.90 33% implied

Draw

3.75 25% implied

Away Win

2.25 42% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.44
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.40
Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City Alexis Da Silva

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2Sporting Kansas City wins
3Draws
5Real Salt Lake wins
3.4Goals per game
70%Both scored
70%Over 2.5
04 Apr 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
14 Sep 2025Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
29 Jun 2025Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake
20 Jun 2024Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Real Salt Lake
05 May 2024Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 1 - 0 Sporting Kansas City
08 Oct 2023Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 2 - 3 Sporting Kansas City
13 Jul 2023Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake
08 Feb 2023Friendlies Clubs Sporting Kansas City 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake
18 Jul 2022Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City
27 Mar 2022Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 291577 61:30 +31 52 DDLDW
2 St. Louis City 301497 56:41 +15 51 LDWWW
3 FC Dallas 291487 53:45 +8 50 WLWDW
4 San Jose Earthquakes 291388 51:41 +10 47 DDWDW
5 Houston Dynamo 291379 39:37 +2 46 DDLDL
6 Los Angeles FC 301299 47:32 +15 45 WDLDL
7 Seattle Sounders 2911810 38:36 +2 41 LWWWW
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 3010911 41:50 -9 39 WLWWD
9 Colorado Rapids 2911513 41:41 0 38 DDLDW
10 Minnesota United FC 3081012 47:55 -8 34 WDDLL
11 Portland Timbers 299614 51:56 -5 33 LDLLL
12 Real Salt Lake 299614 42:47 -5 33 DLWLL
13 San Diego 298912 51:54 -3 33 DLDDL
14 Austin 2971012 37:54 -17 31 LLDDW
15 Sporting Kansas City 296419 35:72 -37 22 LDLWL

Top scorers

Major League Soccer
1 L. MessiInter Miami 23goals 12assists 26apps
2 P. MusaFC Dallas 19goals 5assists 25apps
3 M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 18goals 2assists 29apps
4 D. BouangaLos Angeles FC 17goals 5assists 28apps
5 B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps 17goals 2assists 27apps
6 K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati 17goals 3assists 27apps
7 S. SurridgeNashville SC 17goals 1assists 23apps
8 Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 17goals 5assists 29apps
9 GuilhermeHouston Dynamo 16goals 7assists 28apps
10 K. YeboahMinnesota United FC 16goals 2assists 28apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Sporting Kansas City Draw Real Salt Lake
Value spotted: Sporting Kansas City win at 2.90 (model 42% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.9%
2-2 6.7%
1-0 6.6%
0-1 6%

Expected goals: 1.7 Sporting Kansas City · 1.55 Real Salt Lake

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
64%
Attack
36%
38%
Defence
62%
50%
Goal model
50%
7%
Head to head
93%
35%
Goals
65%
40%
Overall
59%

Recent form

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 3 Real Salt Lake L
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City L
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers D
02 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City L
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City W
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC W
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer FC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City L
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps L
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City L
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 3 Real Salt Lake W
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes D
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Philadelphia Union 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake L
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 3 - 0 New England Revolution W
24 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Seattle Sounders 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake L
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC L
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake L
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC D
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Colorado Rapids 1 - 0 Real Salt Lake L

Season numbers

Major League Soccer 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
5
8
16-30'
8
9
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
5
9
61-75'
6
4
76-90'
10
11
0-15'
6
9
16-30'
8
15
31-45'
7
8
46-60'
9
14
61-75'
8
12
76-90'
10
Sporting Kansas City Real Salt Lake

Side by side

Sporting Kansas City Real Salt Lake
29 Played 29
6 Won 9
4 Drawn 6
19 Lost 14
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.4
2.5 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1.5 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 1
1 Clean sheets 3
10 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 3
3-1 Biggest win 3-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Sporting Kansas City
Austin (H) 25 Oct
Minnesota United FC (A) 29 Oct
FC Dallas (H) 31 Oct
San Diego (A) 08 Nov
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City (H) 25 Oct
Austin (A) 29 Oct
San Jose Earthquakes (A) 31 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Sporting Kansas City
O. Blorian Chest Injury
Diego Borges Groin Injury
L. Johnsen Hamstring Injury
M. Mosquera Hamstring Injury
J. Reynolds Muscle Injury
O. Wolff Muscle Injury
Real Salt Lake
J. J. Arias Hamstring Injury
L. De Fougerolles Lower-Body Injury
E. Eneli Knee Injury
L. Engel Hamstring Injury
J. Glad Groin Injury
D. Luna Knee Injury
G. Dillon Foot Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Sporting Kansas City 2.90 34% implied
Draw 3.75 27% implied
Real Salt Lake 2.25 44% implied
Sporting Kansas City 2.10 48% implied
Real Salt Lake 1.67 60% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50 67% implied
Under 2.5 2.50 40% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 3.5 1.62 62% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Real Salt Lake 21.00 5% implied
Draw/Real Salt Lake 6.00 17% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Sporting Kansas City 4.33 23% implied
Draw/Sporting Kansas City 7.00 14% implied
Real Salt Lake/Sporting Kansas City 23.00 4% implied
Real Salt Lake/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Real Salt Lake/Real Salt Lake 3.50 29% implied
Yes 1.44 69% implied
No 2.62 38% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
1:2 9.50 11% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
0:1 13.00 8% implied
1:0 15.00 7% implied
0:2 15.00 7% implied
1:3 15.00 7% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Draw 1.57 64% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Real Salt Lake 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Real Salt Lake 1.40 71% implied Our tip
Sporting Kansas City 3.20 31% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Real Salt Lake 2.75 36% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: preview and prediction

Sporting Kansas City host Real Salt Lake in the USA Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 00:30 at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City. Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in the table and Real Salt Lake 12th. Real Salt Lake are 11 points ahead (33 to 22).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
12 Real Salt Lake 299614 42:47 -5 33
15 Sporting Kansas City 296419 35:72 -37 22

Full Major League Soccer standings

Sporting Kansas City are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-L). Real Salt Lake have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2, Real Salt Lake won 5 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.55 for Real Salt Lake. It gives Sporting Kansas City the edge (42% home win, 23% draw, 35% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.44. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Sporting Kansas City are favourites: our model gives Sporting Kansas City 42%, the draw 23% and Real Salt Lake 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 00:30 at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City.

Who is the referee?

Alexis Da Silva is in charge of this game.

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