New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
Match Analysis & Predictions
USA: Major League Soccer
Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 23:30
Regular Season - 30
New York City FC
LDLLD
1
VS
1
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Los Angeles FC
DLDWD
28'
Hannes Wolf
44'
Aiden O'Neill
45+1'
Leo Walta
54'
Agustin Ojeda
59'
Andrés Perea
Expert Prediction · Double Chance
1X @ 1.55 (62% chance) Won
No predictions available
62% confidence
Match Odds · Bet365
Home Win
2.88 33% impliedDraw
3.50 27% impliedAway Win
2.40 40% implied
Citi Field, Flushing
Rosendo Mendoza
Head to head
Last 7 meetings7games
1New York City FC wins
5Draws
1Los Angeles FC wins
2.6Goals per game
86%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
02 Mar 2025Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
1 - 0
New York City FC
1 - 0
New York City FC
28 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
28 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs
New York City FC
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
29 May 2021Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
1 - 2
New York City FC
1 - 2
New York City FC
17 Mar 2019Major League Soccer
New York City FC
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
14 May 2018Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
2 - 2
New York City FC
2 - 2
New York City FC
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps |
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 61:30 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City |
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas |
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 53:45 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes |
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 51:41 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo |
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:37 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC |
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47:32 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders |
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:36 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy |
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41:50 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids |
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC |
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers |
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake |
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42:47 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |  San Diego |
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 51:54 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin |
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:54 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City |
29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 35:72 | -37 | 22 |
Top scorers
Major League Soccer
1
L. Messi
Inter Miami
23goals
L. MessiInter Miami
23goals
2
P. MusaFC Dallas
19goals
P. MusaFC Dallas
19goals
3
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
18goals
M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union
18goals
4
D. BouangaLos Angeles FC
17goals
D. BouangaLos Angeles FC
17goals
5
B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps
17goals
B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps
17goals
6
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
17goals
K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati
17goals
7
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
17goals
S. SurridgeNashville SC
17goals
8
Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City
17goals
Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City
17goals
9
GuilhermeHouston Dynamo
16goals
GuilhermeHouston Dynamo
16goals
10
K. YeboahMinnesota United FC
16goals
K. YeboahMinnesota United FC
16goals
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Our goal model
43%
24%
32%
API-Football
33%
33%
33%
Bookmaker
33%
27%
40%
New York City FC
Draw
Los Angeles FC
Value spotted: New York City FC win at 2.88 (model 43% vs market 33%)
Most likely scores
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
Expected goals: 1.6 New York City FC · 1.35 Los Angeles FC
Goal lines
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%
Team comparison
44%
56%
42%
58%
53%
47%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
48%
51%
Recent form
1 W
5 D
4 L
in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
New York City FC
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
D
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
D
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
2 - 0
New York City FC
L
2 - 0
New York City FC
L
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
2 - 1
New York City FC
L
2 - 1
New York City FC
L
26 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC
2 - 2
New York City FC
D
2 - 2
New York City FC
D
18 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
New York City FC
0 - 1
New York Red Bulls
L
0 - 1
New York Red Bulls
L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
0 - 2
New York City FC
W
0 - 2
New York City FC
W
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
New York City FC
1 - 2
New England Revolution
L
1 - 2
New England Revolution
L
04 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
New York City FC
0 - 0
Nashville SC
D
0 - 0
Nashville SC
D
29 Aug 2026Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
D
1 - 1
New York City FC
D
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
1 - 1
New York City FC
D
1 - 1
New York City FC
D
2 W
6 D
2 L
in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
New York City FC
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
D
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
D
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
3 - 1
Austin
W
3 - 1
Austin
W
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
D
1 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
D
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
1 - 0
Los Angeles FC
L
1 - 0
Los Angeles FC
L
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
D
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
D
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City
3 - 1
Los Angeles FC
L
3 - 1
Los Angeles FC
L
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
2 - 0
New York Red Bulls
W
2 - 0
New York Red Bulls
W
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
D
2 - 2
Los Angeles FC
D
29 Aug 2026Major League Soccer
DC United
0 - 0
Los Angeles FC
D
0 - 0
Los Angeles FC
D
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
1 - 1
Portland Timbers
D
1 - 1
Portland Timbers
D
Season numbers
Major League Soccer 2026When the goals come
5
0-15'
4
11
16-30'
7
9
31-45'
10
7
46-60'
9
5
61-75'
7
4
76-90'
9
6
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
5
8
61-75'
8
10
76-90'
6
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
Side by side
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
29
Played
30
8
Won
12
9
Drawn
9
12
Lost
9
1.4
Goals scored per game
1.6
1.4
Goals conceded per game
1.1
1.9 / 1.1
Scored per game (home / away)
1.9 / 1.2
5
Clean sheets
13
6
Failed to score
6
3
Longest winning run
4
5-0
Biggest win
6-0
0-2
Biggest defeat
1-4
7/8
Penalties scored
1/1
What comes next
New York City FC
Orlando City SC (A)
24 Oct
Atlanta United FC (H)
28 Oct
CF Montreal (H)
31 Oct
DC United (A)
07 Nov
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy (H)
26 Oct
Minnesota United FC (H)
02 Nov
Seattle Sounders (A)
08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third
Missing players
New York City FC
D. Baiera Knee Injury
A. Farnos Leg Injury
M. Moralez Knee Injury
K. Parks Leg Injury
K. Trewin Ankle Injury
Los Angeles FC
C. Carter Arm Injury
J. Ebobisse Leg Injury
T. Tillman Pelvis Injury
Betting markets
Odds: Bet365
New York City FC
2.88
35% implied
Draw
3.50
29% implied
Los Angeles FC
2.40
42% implied
New York City FC
1.83
55% implied
Los Angeles FC
1.83
55% implied
Over 0.5
1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5
13.00
8% implied
Over 1.5
1.22
82% implied
Under 1.5
4.00
25% implied
Over 2.5
1.73
58% implied
Under 2.5
2.08
48% implied
Over 3.5
2.75
36% implied
Under 3.5
1.40
71% implied
Over 4.5
5.50
18% implied
Under 4.5
1.14
88% implied
New York City FC/Draw
13.00
8% implied
Our tip
New York City FC/Los Angeles FC
23.00
4% implied
Draw/Los Angeles FC
6.50
15% implied
Draw/Draw
5.50
18% implied
New York City FC/New York City FC
4.33
23% implied
Draw/New York City FC
6.50
15% implied
Los Angeles FC/New York City FC
26.00
4% implied
Los Angeles FC/Draw
13.00
8% implied
Los Angeles FC/Los Angeles FC
4.00
25% implied
Yes
1.57
64% implied
No
2.25
44% implied
1:1
6.50
15% implied
2:1
10.00
10% implied
0:1
10.00
10% implied
1:2
10.00
10% implied
1:0
11.00
9% implied
2:2
12.00
8% implied
0:0
13.00
8% implied
2:0
15.00
7% implied
New York City FC/Draw
1.50
67% implied
Our tip
New York City FC/Los Angeles FC
1.28
78% implied
Draw/Los Angeles FC
1.40
71% implied
New York City FC
3.20
31% implied
Draw
2.30
43% implied
Los Angeles FC
3.00
33% implied
Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC: preview and prediction
New York City FC host Los Angeles FC in the USA Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:30 at Citi Field, Flushing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC |
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47:32 | +15 | 45 |
Full Major League Soccer standings
New York City FC are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D). Los Angeles FC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-D).
In the last 7 meetings, New York City FC won 1, Los Angeles FC won 1 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.
Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for New York City FC and 1.35 for Los Angeles FC. It gives New York City FC the edge (43% home win, 24% draw, 32% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.55.
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC FAQs
What is the best prediction for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.55 odds).
Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
New York City FC are favourites: our model gives New York City FC 43%, the draw 24% and Los Angeles FC 32%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 86% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:30 at Citi Field, Flushing.
Who is the referee?
Rosendo Mendoza is in charge of this game.
Atlanta Utd
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
Orlando City
DC United
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas