San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: Major League Soccer

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 02:30 Regular Season - 30
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
4th in table
DWDDD
1 VS 1
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WWWWD
28' Shakur Mohammed
34' Hany Mukhtar
39' Beau Leroux
45+3' Preston Judd
70' Preston Judd
90' Ian Harkes

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.30 (78% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or Nashville SC
78% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.70 26% implied

Draw

4.00 24% implied

Away Win

1.90 50% implied
Avaya Stadium, San Jose Joseph Dickerson

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
0San Jose Earthquakes wins
4Draws
0Nashville SC wins
2Goals per game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
28 Apr 2024Major League Soccer Nashville SC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
24 Sep 2023Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC
12 Jun 2022Major League Soccer Nashville SC 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes
16 Apr 2022Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 301677 63:31 +32 55 WDDLD
2 St. Louis City 301497 56:41 +15 51 LDWWW
3 FC Dallas 301497 55:47 +8 51 DWLWD
4 San Jose Earthquakes 301398 52:42 +10 48 DDDWD
5 Houston Dynamo 301389 41:39 +2 47 DDDLD
6 Los Angeles FC 3112109 48:33 +15 46 DWDLD
7 Seattle Sounders 3011910 39:37 +2 42 DLWWW
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31101011 43:52 -9 40 DWLWW
9 Colorado Rapids 3011613 41:41 0 39 DDDLD
10 Real Salt Lake 3010614 45:48 -3 36 WDLWL
11 Portland Timbers 309714 51:56 -5 34 DLDLL
12 San Diego 3081012 53:56 -3 34 DDLDD
13 Minnesota United FC 3081012 47:55 -8 34 WDDLL
14 Austin 3071013 38:56 -18 31 LLLDD
15 Sporting Kansas City 306420 36:75 -39 22 LLDLW

Top scorers

Major League Soccer
1 L. MessiInter Miami 23goals 12assists 26apps
2 P. MusaFC Dallas 19goals 5assists 25apps
3 M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 18goals 2assists 29apps
4 D. BouangaLos Angeles FC 17goals 5assists 28apps
5 B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps 17goals 2assists 27apps
6 K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati 17goals 3assists 27apps
7 S. SurridgeNashville SC 17goals 1assists 23apps
8 Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 17goals 5assists 29apps
9 GuilhermeHouston Dynamo 16goals 7assists 28apps
10 K. YeboahMinnesota United FC 16goals 2assists 28apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
San Jose Earthquakes Draw Nashville SC
Value spotted: San Jose Earthquakes win at 3.70 (model 33% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
0-1 9.7%
1-2 8.8%
1-0 8.4%
2-1 7.6%
0-2 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.25 San Jose Earthquakes · 1.45 Nashville SC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
35%
Attack
65%
38%
Defence
63%
33%
Goal model
67%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
41%
Overall
59%

Recent form

3 W 6 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC D
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes D
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Colorado Rapids 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes D
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Portland Timbers W
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC D
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo W
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer San Diego 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes W
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Austin 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes D
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes D
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 5 Minnesota United FC L
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC D
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City W
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Austin 1 - 4 Nashville SC W
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 2 - 0 Toronto FC W
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 3 - 0 Chicago Fire W
12 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville SC D
09 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Toronto FC 2 - 1 Nashville SC L
04 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 0 - 0 Nashville SC D
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati W
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew W

Season numbers

Major League Soccer 2026

When the goals come

12
0-15'
6
6
16-30'
14
8
31-45'
9
9
46-60'
9
6
61-75'
8
9
76-90'
15
7
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
3
8
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
6
12
76-90'
4
San Jose Earthquakes Nashville SC

Side by side

San Jose Earthquakes Nashville SC
29 Played 29
13 Won 20
8 Drawn 6
8 Lost 3
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.8 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1.3
7 Clean sheets 14
4 Failed to score 5
6 Longest winning run 5
5-1 Biggest win 5-0
1-5 Biggest defeat 2-1
4/7 Penalties scored 4/4

What comes next

San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas (A) 25 Oct
Colorado Rapids (H) 29 Oct
Real Salt Lake (H) 31 Oct
Minnesota United FC (A) 08 Nov
Nashville SC
CF Montreal (A) 24 Oct
Philadelphia Union (H) 29 Oct
New York Red Bulls (H) 01 Nov
FC Cincinnati (A) 07 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

San Jose Earthquakes
N. Adimabua Hernia
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza Injury
D. Johnson Lower-Body Injury
D. Jones Achilles Tendon Injury
B. Kikanovic Lower-Body Injury
J. Skahan Lower-Body Injury
N. Tsakiris Upper-Body Injury
Nashville SC
F. Camara Lower-Body Injury
O. Presthus Lower-Body Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
San Jose Earthquakes 3.70 27% implied
Draw 4.00 25% implied
Nashville SC 1.90 53% implied
San Jose Earthquakes 2.62 38% implied
Nashville SC 1.44 69% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.53 65% implied
Under 2.5 2.40 42% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 3.5 1.62 62% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
San Jose Earthquakes/Draw 15.00 7% implied
San Jose Earthquakes/Nashville SC 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Nashville SC 5.50 18% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
San Jose Earthquakes/San Jose Earthquakes 5.50 18% implied
Draw/San Jose Earthquakes 8.50 12% implied
Nashville SC/San Jose Earthquakes 26.00 4% implied
Nashville SC/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Nashville SC/Nashville SC 3.00 33% implied
Yes 1.50 67% implied
No 2.50 40% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
2:1 13.00 8% implied
1:3 13.00 8% implied
1:0 17.00 6% implied
San Jose Earthquakes/Draw 1.83 55% implied
San Jose Earthquakes/Nashville SC 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Nashville SC 1.28 78% implied Our tip
San Jose Earthquakes 3.75 27% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Nashville SC 2.40 42% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: preview and prediction

San Jose Earthquakes host Nashville SC in the USA Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 02:30 at Avaya Stadium, San Jose.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 San Jose Earthquakes 301398 52:42 +10 48

Full Major League Soccer standings

San Jose Earthquakes have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-D). Nashville SC are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D).

In the last 4 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 0, Nashville SC won 0 and 4 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.45 for Nashville SC. It gives Nashville SC the edge (33% home win, 26% draw, 42% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.30.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC FAQs

What is the best prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.30 odds).

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Nashville SC are favourites: our model gives San Jose Earthquakes 33%, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 02:30 at Avaya Stadium, San Jose.

Who is the referee?

Joseph Dickerson is in charge of this game.

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