San Antonio vs New Mexico United

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: USL Championship

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 00:30 Group Stage
San Antonio San Antonio
8th in table
DLLDW
1 VS 0
Finished
HT 1 - 0
New Mexico United New Mexico United
2nd in table
LLWWL
29' C. Calov
57' C. Gloster
63' Tiago
80' Z. Bailey
81' L. Haakenson
86' E. Cuello
87' M. Taintor
90+4' D. Pacheco

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

BTS @ 1.67 (96% chance) Lost

Combo Double chance : draw or New Mexico United and -3.5 goals
96% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.90 48% implied

Draw

3.50 26% implied

Away Win

3.40 27% implied
Toyota Field M. Kaleia

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
4San Antonio wins
1Draws
5New Mexico United wins
3.1Goals per game
60%Both scored
70%Over 2.5
30 Aug 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 1 - 2 San Antonio
22 Mar 2026USL Championship San Antonio 1 - 0 New Mexico United
02 Nov 2025USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 0 San Antonio
07 Sep 2025USL Championship San Antonio 0 - 1 New Mexico United
27 Jul 2025USL League One Cup San Antonio 2 - 2 New Mexico United
22 Jun 2025USL Championship New Mexico United 4 - 2 San Antonio
30 Jun 2024USL Championship San Antonio 2 - 3 New Mexico United
26 May 2024USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 1 San Antonio
13 Aug 2023USL Championship New Mexico United 0 - 3 San Antonio
28 May 2023USL Championship San Antonio 2 - 1 New Mexico United

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 El Paso Locomotive 281558 48:36 +12 50 WLDWW
2 New Mexico United 281477 44:33 +11 49 WWLLD
3 Sacramento Republic 2811125 38:26 +12 45 DDWWD
4 Lexington 2813510 49:33 +16 44 DWWWW
5 FC Tulsa 2811107 32:25 +7 43 DDWDD
6 Colorado Springs 281189 41:38 +3 41 DDDDW
7 Orange County SC 281099 37:44 -7 39 LLWLL
8 San Antonio 289127 29:29 0 39 DLDDL
9 Phoenix Rising 289910 39:42 -3 36 WLLLW
10 Las Vegas Lights 2810612 37:41 -4 36 LWLDW
11 Oakland Roots 288119 33:35 -2 35 DDWWL
12 Monterey Bay 285617 30:50 -20 21 LWLLD

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
San Antonio Draw New Mexico United
Value spotted: New Mexico United win at 3.40 (model 36% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.3%
0-1 11.5%
1-0 11.5%
0-0 10%
1-2 7.6%
2-1 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 San Antonio · 1.15 New Mexico United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
30%
Form
70%
13%
Attack
88%
67%
Defence
33%
44%
Goal model
56%
50%
Head to head
50%
45%
Goals
55%
41%
Overall
58%

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026USL Championship San Antonio 1 - 0 New Mexico United W
11 Oct 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 0 - 0 San Antonio D
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 San Antonio L
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs San Antonio 0 - 7 SV Darmstadt 98 L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship San Antonio 0 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies D
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Sacramento Republic 0 - 0 San Antonio D
12 Sep 2026USL Championship Colorado Springs 2 - 1 San Antonio L
09 Sep 2026USL League One Cup San Antonio 0 - 0 Louisville City D
06 Sep 2026USL Championship San Antonio 0 - 0 FC Tulsa D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 1 - 2 San Antonio W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026USL Championship San Antonio 1 - 0 New Mexico United L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 3 - 1 Monterey Bay W
04 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising W
01 Oct 2026USL Championship FC Tulsa 1 - 0 New Mexico United L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 3 Sacramento Republic L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Colorado Springs 0 - 0 New Mexico United D
17 Sep 2026USL Championship Birmingham Legion 4 - 4 New Mexico United D
12 Sep 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 2 Indy Eleven D
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 New Mexico United W
30 Aug 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 1 - 2 San Antonio L

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
6
5
16-30'
7
5
31-45'
6
6
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
11
7
76-90'
12
5
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
2
7
46-60'
8
3
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
7
San Antonio New Mexico United

Side by side

San Antonio New Mexico United
28 Played 28
9 Won 14
12 Drawn 7
7 Lost 7
1 Goals scored per game 1.6
1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1.4
11 Clean sheets 8
13 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 6
3-1 Biggest win 3-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 2-3
0/2 Penalties scored 3/3

What comes next

San Antonio
Orange County SC (H) 25 Oct
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive (A) 25 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
San Antonio 1.90 53% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
New Mexico United 3.40 29% implied
San Antonio 1.40 71% implied
New Mexico United 2.75 36% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.25 80% implied
Under 1.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Under 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Over 3.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.00 20% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
San Antonio/Draw 15.00 7% implied
San Antonio/New Mexico United 34.00 3% implied
Draw/New Mexico United 8.50 12% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
San Antonio/San Antonio 2.88 35% implied
Draw/San Antonio 5.00 20% implied
New Mexico United/San Antonio 23.00 4% implied
New Mexico United/Draw 15.00 7% implied
New Mexico United/New Mexico United 6.00 17% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
1:0 8.50 12% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 10.00 10% implied
0:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
0:1 13.00 8% implied
1:2 13.00 8% implied
San Antonio/Draw 1.22 82% implied
San Antonio/New Mexico United 1.22 82% implied
Draw/New Mexico United 1.80 56% implied
San Antonio 2.38 42% implied
Draw 2.25 44% implied
New Mexico United 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

San Antonio vs New Mexico United: preview and prediction

San Antonio host New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 00:30 at Toyota Field. San Antonio sit 8th in the table and New Mexico United 2nd. New Mexico United are 10 points ahead (49 to 39).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
2 New Mexico United 281477 44:33 +11 49
8 San Antonio 289127 29:29 0 39

Full USL Championship standings

San Antonio have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W). New Mexico United are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-L).

In the last 10 meetings, San Antonio won 4, New Mexico United won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for San Antonio and 1.15 for New Mexico United. It gives San Antonio the edge (36% home win, 28% draw, 36% away win), 40% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Both Teams Score (BTS) at odds of 1.67.

San Antonio vs New Mexico United FAQs

What is the best prediction for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: BTS (1.67 odds).

Who will win San Antonio vs New Mexico United?

It looks very close: our model gives San Antonio 36%, the draw 28% and New Mexico United 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is San Antonio vs New Mexico United?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 00:30 at Toyota Field.

Who is the referee?

M. Kaleia is in charge of this game.

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