Louisville City vs Indy Eleven

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: USL Championship

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 23:00 Group Stage
Louisville City Louisville City
6th in table
WDWWW
4 VS 1
Finished
HT 3 - 0
Indy Eleven Indy Eleven
9th in table
LLDLL
7' R. Serrano
33' K. Lambert
43' R. Serrano
51' R. Serrano
53' J. Hafferty
55' Q. Huerman
72' M. Rasheed
74' S. Totsch

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.67 (57% chance) Won

Double chance : Louisville City or draw
57% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.67 54% implied

Draw

3.70 24% implied

Away Win

4.10 22% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.67
Double Chance 1X @ 1.20
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.57
Lynn Family Stadium J. Surgan

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Louisville City wins
2Draws
2Indy Eleven wins
3.2Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Louisville City
04 Oct 2025USL Championship Louisville City 2 - 0 Indy Eleven
30 Aug 2025USL Championship Indy Eleven 1 - 3 Louisville City
05 Oct 2024USL Championship Indy Eleven 2 - 2 Louisville City
06 Apr 2024USL Championship Louisville City 5 - 3 Indy Eleven
30 Jul 2023USL Championship Louisville City 2 - 0 Indy Eleven
27 May 2023USL Championship Indy Eleven 0 - 1 Louisville City
31 Aug 2022USL Championship Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Louisville City
26 Mar 2022USL Championship Louisville City 1 - 1 Indy Eleven

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 281675 49:26 +23 55 WLDWL
2 Detroit City 281486 34:20 +14 50 WWWDW
3 Charleston Battery 281459 53:34 +19 47 DLWWD
4 Rhode Island 2812511 40:30 +10 41 WLWWL
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2812511 30:28 +2 41 WLLWD
6 Louisville City 271179 45:42 +3 40 WDWLD
7 Hartford Athletic 289136 31:29 +2 40 DLDDW
8 Miami FC 299911 38:47 -9 36 LWWWW
9 Indy Eleven 289712 34:36 -2 34 LDLLL
10 Loudoun United 2851211 34:45 -11 27 LWDWL
11 Birmingham Legion 2751111 37:43 -6 26 WLWLD
12 Brooklyn 274617 27:55 -28 18 LLLDL
13 Sporting JAX 283520 32:74 -42 14 LLLLL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Louisville City Draw Indy Eleven

Most likely scores

1-0 12.5%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-0 8.6%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 Louisville City · 1 Indy Eleven

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
89%
Form
11%
80%
Attack
20%
57%
Defence
43%
64%
Goal model
36%
71%
Head to head
29%
62%
Goals
38%
70%
Overall
29%

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026USL Championship Louisville City 4 - 1 Indy Eleven W
10 Oct 2026USL Championship Charleston Battery 0 - 2 Louisville City W
04 Oct 2026USL League One Cup Hartford Athletic 0 - 1 Louisville City W
25 Sep 2026USL Championship Hartford Athletic 2 - 2 Louisville City D
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Louisville City 2 - 1 Loudoun United W
12 Sep 2026USL Championship Louisville City 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive L
09 Sep 2026USL League One Cup San Antonio 0 - 0 Louisville City D
05 Sep 2026USL Championship Rhode Island 1 - 1 Louisville City D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Louisville City 0 - 0 Detroit City D
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Louisville City L
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026USL Championship Louisville City 4 - 1 Indy Eleven L
10 Oct 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 1 - 3 Tampa Bay Rowdies L
03 Oct 2026USL Championship Loudoun United 1 - 1 Indy Eleven D
30 Sep 2026USL Championship Rhode Island 1 - 0 Indy Eleven L
26 Sep 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 0 - 2 Miami FC L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 0 - 1 Oakland Roots L
15 Sep 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 4 - 0 Brooklyn W
12 Sep 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 2 Indy Eleven D
05 Sep 2026USL Championship Indy Eleven 2 - 2 Birmingham Legion D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Indy Eleven L

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
4
10
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
5
8
46-60'
8
9
61-75'
6
9
76-90'
7
6
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
7
5
31-45'
6
12
46-60'
10
5
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
7
Louisville City Indy Eleven

Side by side

Louisville City Indy Eleven
27 Played 28
11 Won 9
7 Drawn 7
9 Lost 12
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.4 / 1.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.8
6 Clean sheets 4
4 Failed to score 9
4 Longest winning run 3
4-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
3/3 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Louisville City
Sporting JAX (A) 21 Oct
Detroit City (H) 24 Oct
Indy Eleven
Charleston Battery (A) 24 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Louisville City 1.67 60% implied Our tip
Draw 3.70 27% implied
Indy Eleven 4.10 24% implied
Louisville City 1.30 77% implied Our tip
Indy Eleven 3.40 29% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50 22% implied
Over 2.5 1.60 63% implied
Under 2.5 2.30 43% implied
Over 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Under 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Over 4.5 4.33 23% implied
Under 4.5 1.20 83% implied
Louisville City/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Louisville City/Indy Eleven 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Indy Eleven 10.00 10% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
Louisville City/Louisville City 2.60 38% implied
Draw/Louisville City 5.00 20% implied
Indy Eleven/Louisville City 21.00 5% implied
Indy Eleven/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Indy Eleven/Indy Eleven 7.00 14% implied
Yes 1.62 62% implied
No 2.20 45% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
2:0 9.50 11% implied
3:1 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
3:0 15.00 7% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
Louisville City/Draw 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Louisville City/Indy Eleven 1.22 82% implied
Draw/Indy Eleven 2.00 50% implied
Louisville City 2.20 45% implied Our tip
Draw 2.40 42% implied
Indy Eleven 4.33 23% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: preview and prediction

Louisville City host Indy Eleven in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:00 at Lynn Family Stadium. Louisville City sit 6th in the table and Indy Eleven 9th. Louisville City are 6 points ahead (40 to 34).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
6 Louisville City 271179 45:42 +3 40
9 Indy Eleven 289712 34:36 -2 34

Full USL Championship standings

Louisville City are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-W). Indy Eleven are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Louisville City won 5, Indy Eleven won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Louisville City and 1 for Indy Eleven. It gives Louisville City the edge (47% home win, 26% draw, 26% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.67. We also like Double Chance (1X), Both Teams Score (BTS).

Louisville City vs Indy Eleven FAQs

What is the best prediction for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?

Louisville City are favourites: our model gives Louisville City 47%, the draw 26% and Indy Eleven 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:00 at Lynn Family Stadium.

Who is the referee?

J. Surgan is in charge of this game.

More USL Championship Tips

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