Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima

Match Analysis & Predictions

Japan: J1 League

Wed, 21st Oct, 2026 • 10:00 Regular Season - 11
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
16th in table
WDLWL
- VS -
Upcoming
Kashima Kashima
6th in table
DWWWW

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.22 (83% chance)

Double chance : draw or Kashima
83% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.80 24% implied

Draw

3.60 26% implied

Away Win

1.85 50% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.22
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.67
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1Kyoto Sanga wins
4Draws
4Kashima wins
2Goals per game
44%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
25 Oct 2025J1 League Kyoto Sanga 1 - 1 Kashima
06 Apr 2025J1 League Kashima 3 - 4 Kyoto Sanga
17 Nov 2024J1 League Kyoto Sanga 0 - 0 Kashima
13 Apr 2024J1 League Kashima 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
01 Jul 2023J1 League Kashima 0 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
18 Feb 2023J1 League Kyoto Sanga 0 - 2 Kashima
10 Sep 2022J1 League Kyoto Sanga 1 - 1 Kashima
18 Jun 2022J1 League Kashima 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
14 Oct 2013Emperor Cup Kashima 2 - 1 Kyoto Sanga

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10721 25:6 +19 23 WWWWL
2 Machida Zelvia 10721 25:10 +15 23 WWLDW
3 FC Tokyo 10721 21:8 +13 23 WWWWW
4 Vissel Kobe 10712 17:9 +8 22 WLWWW
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10703 22:17 +5 21 LWWWL
6 Kashima 10613 21:16 +5 19 WWDLL
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10442 21:16 +5 16 WLDWW
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10442 13:9 +4 16 DDWDW
9 Urawa 10505 17:21 -4 15 WLWLW
10 Shimizu S-pulse 10424 10:11 -1 14 DWWWL
11 Fagiano Okayama 10415 12:15 -3 13 LLLWW
12 Nagoya Grampus 10406 12:16 -4 12 WWLLL
13 Cerezo Osaka 10334 9:16 -7 12 LDDLD
14 Mito Hollyhock 10235 12:14 -2 9 LLLLD
15 V-varen Nagasaki 10235 11:18 -7 9 LDDWL
16 Kyoto Sanga 10226 11:19 -8 8 LLWLL
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10217 11:16 -5 7 LWLLD
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7 DLLLL
19 JEF United Chiba 10136 8:19 -11 6 DDLDW
20 Tokyo Verdy 10046 4:18 -14 4 LLLDD

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 12goals 0assists 9apps
2 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7goals 4assists 10apps
3 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 10apps
4 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 7goals 4assists 10apps
5 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 6goals 2assists 10apps
6 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 5goals 3assists 9apps
8 A. ČavrićKashima 5goals 1assists 10apps
9 A. WatanabeMito Hollyhock 5goals 0assists 8apps
10 Y. WakizakaKawasaki Frontale 4goals 3assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Kyoto Sanga Draw Kashima
Value spotted: Kyoto Sanga win at 3.80 (model 33% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-2 7.8%
2-2 7.2%
1-1 7.1%
2-1 6.6%
1-3 5.7%
2-3 5.3%

Expected goals: 1.85 Kyoto Sanga · 2.2 Kashima

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams score75%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
30%
Form
70%
33%
Attack
67%
38%
Defence
63%
36%
Goal model
64%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
39%
Overall
60%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 - 0 Kyoto Sanga L
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Ratchaburi W
10 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia L
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Kyoto Sanga D
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Fujieda MYFC W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga W
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Daejeon Citizen 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga L
11 Sep 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol L
06 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kyoto Sanga L
02 Sep 2026J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos 1 - 1 Kyoto Sanga D
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki W
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Công An Nhân Dân 0 - 1 Kashima W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka W
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kashima 3 - 1 Ventforet Kofu W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 3 Kashima D
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets W
11 Sep 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 2 - 1 Kashima L
06 Sep 2026J1 League Kashima 0 - 1 Urawa L
02 Sep 2026J1 League Mito Hollyhock 4 - 2 Kashima L
29 Aug 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Kashima W

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
3
Kyoto Sanga Kashima

Side by side

Kyoto Sanga Kashima
10 Played 10
2 Won 6
2 Drawn 1
6 Lost 3
1.1 Goals scored per game 2.1
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1.3 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 2.4
0 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 4
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

Kyoto Sanga
Kashima (H) 21 Oct
Gamba Osaka (A) 24 Oct
Newcastle Jets (H) 27 Oct
Shimizu S-pulse (H) 31 Oct
Công An Nhân Dân (A) 03 Nov
Kashima
Kyoto Sanga (A) 21 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol (H) 24 Oct
Pohang Steelers (H) 28 Oct
Cerezo Osaka (H) 31 Oct
Buriram United (A) 04 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Kyoto Sanga 3.80 26% implied
Draw 3.60 28% implied
Kashima 1.85 54% implied
Kyoto Sanga 2.75 36% implied
Kashima 1.40 71% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 12.00 8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Under 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Over 3.5 3.00 33% implied
Under 3.5 1.36 74% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
Kyoto Sanga/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Kyoto Sanga/Kashima 21.00 5% implied
Draw/Kashima 5.00 20% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Kyoto Sanga/Kyoto Sanga 6.50 15% implied
Draw/Kyoto Sanga 8.50 12% implied
Kashima/Kyoto Sanga 29.00 3% implied
Kashima/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Kashima/Kashima 3.00 33% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
0:1 8.00 13% implied
1:2 8.50 12% implied
0:2 9.50 11% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
2:1 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Kyoto Sanga/Draw 1.91 52% implied
Kyoto Sanga/Kashima 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Kashima 1.25 80% implied Our tip
Kyoto Sanga 4.33 23% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Kashima 2.40 42% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima: preview and prediction

Kyoto Sanga host Kashima in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 11) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto. Kyoto Sanga sit 16th in the table and Kashima 6th. Kashima are 11 points ahead (19 to 8).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
6 Kashima 10613 21:16 +5 19
16 Kyoto Sanga 10226 11:19 -8 8

Full J1 League standings

Kyoto Sanga have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-L). Kashima are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 1, Kashima won 4 and 4 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.2 for Kashima. It gives Kashima the edge (33% home win, 20% draw, 46% away win), 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.22. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?

Kashima are favourites: our model gives Kyoto Sanga 33%, the draw 20% and Kashima 46%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 75% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.1 goals in total, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto.

More J1 League Tips

12:00 Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka 1X 12:00 FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol 1X 12:00 Kawasaki Frontale Vissel Kobe 1X 12:00 Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka 1X 12:00 Okayama Mito 1X 12:00 Shimizu S-Pulse Machida X2