FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

Match Analysis & Predictions

Japan: J1 League

Wed, 21st Oct, 2026 • 10:00 Regular Season - 11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
3rd in table
WWWLW
- VS -
Upcoming
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
5th in table
WWWWL

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.33 (85% chance)

Double chance : FC Tokyo or draw
85% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.10 44% implied

Draw

3.40 27% implied

Away Win

3.10 30% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.33
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.62
Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
3FC Tokyo wins
3Draws
4Kashiwa Reysol wins
3.3Goals per game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
29 Apr 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 FC Tokyo
28 Feb 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 0 - 2 Kashiwa Reysol
05 Jul 2025J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 0 FC Tokyo
11 Apr 2025J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol
30 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs FC Tokyo 0 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jul 2024J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 3 - 2 FC Tokyo
11 May 2024J1 League FC Tokyo 3 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol
01 Jul 2023J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Feb 2023J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 1 FC Tokyo
27 Aug 2022J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 3 - 6 FC Tokyo

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10721 25:6 +19 23 WWWWL
2 Machida Zelvia 10721 25:10 +15 23 WWLDW
3 FC Tokyo 10721 21:8 +13 23 WWWWW
4 Vissel Kobe 10712 17:9 +8 22 WLWWW
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10703 22:17 +5 21 LWWWL
6 Kashima 10613 21:16 +5 19 WWDLL
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10442 21:16 +5 16 WLDWW
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10442 13:9 +4 16 DDWDW
9 Urawa 10505 17:21 -4 15 WLWLW
10 Shimizu S-pulse 10424 10:11 -1 14 DWWWL
11 Fagiano Okayama 10415 12:15 -3 13 LLLWW
12 Nagoya Grampus 10406 12:16 -4 12 WWLLL
13 Cerezo Osaka 10334 9:16 -7 12 LDDLD
14 Mito Hollyhock 10235 12:14 -2 9 LLLLD
15 V-varen Nagasaki 10235 11:18 -7 9 LDDWL
16 Kyoto Sanga 10226 11:19 -8 8 LLWLL
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10217 11:16 -5 7 LWLLD
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7 DLLLL
19 JEF United Chiba 10136 8:19 -11 6 DDLDW
20 Tokyo Verdy 10046 4:18 -14 4 LLLDD

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 12goals 0assists 9apps
2 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7goals 4assists 10apps
3 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 10apps
4 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 7goals 4assists 10apps
5 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 6goals 2assists 10apps
6 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 5goals 3assists 9apps
8 A. ČavrićKashima 5goals 1assists 10apps
9 A. WatanabeMito Hollyhock 5goals 0assists 8apps
10 Y. WakizakaKawasaki Frontale 4goals 3assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
FC Tokyo Draw Kashiwa Reysol
Value spotted: Kashiwa Reysol win at 3.10 (model 38% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.7%
0-1 6.5%
1-0 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 FC Tokyo · 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
38%
50%
Attack
50%
100%
Defence
0%
51%
Goal model
49%
29%
Head to head
71%
40%
Goals
60%
46%
Overall
53%

Recent form

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 4 FC Tokyo W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Mito Hollyhock 1 - 0 FC Tokyo L
10 Oct 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Urawa W
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup FC Tokyo 4 - 0 Shonan Bellmare W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Ehime FC 0 - 2 FC Tokyo W
19 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus W
12 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo W
06 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kyoto Sanga W
02 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 1 FC Tokyo D
29 Aug 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 3 FC Tokyo W
6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus L
14 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashiwa Reysol 5 - 1 Port FC W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 4 - 2 Vissel Kobe W
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Kashiwa Reysol 5 - 4 Gamba Osaka W
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kashiwa Reysol 4 - 0 Imabari W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 2 - 4 Kashiwa Reysol W
16 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol L
11 Sep 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol W
06 Sep 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 0 - 2 Yokohama F. Marinos L
02 Sep 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
1
5
46-60'
4
7
61-75'
6
2
76-90'
4
0
0-15'
4
1
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
5
FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol

Side by side

FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol
10 Played 10
7 Won 7
2 Drawn 0
1 Lost 3
2.1 Goals scored per game 2.2
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.8 / 2.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 2.2
7 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-5 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol (H) 21 Oct
Mito Hollyhock (H) 25 Oct
Fagiano Okayama (A) 31 Oct
Kashima (H) 07 Nov
Cerezo Osaka (A) 21 Nov
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo (A) 21 Oct
Kashima (A) 24 Oct
Ratchaburi (A) 27 Oct
Urawa (H) 31 Oct
Daejeon Citizen (H) 03 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
FC Tokyo 2.10 48% implied
Draw 3.40 29% implied
Kashiwa Reysol 3.10 32% implied
FC Tokyo 1.57 64% implied
Kashiwa Reysol 2.25 44% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 12.00 8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Under 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Over 3.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
FC Tokyo/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
FC Tokyo/Kashiwa Reysol 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Kashiwa Reysol 7.50 13% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
FC Tokyo/FC Tokyo 3.40 29% implied
Draw/FC Tokyo 5.50 18% implied
Kashiwa Reysol/FC Tokyo 23.00 4% implied
Kashiwa Reysol/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Kashiwa Reysol/Kashiwa Reysol 5.00 20% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
FC Tokyo/Draw 1.36 74% implied Our tip
FC Tokyo/Kashiwa Reysol 1.30 77% implied
Draw/Kashiwa Reysol 1.67 60% implied
FC Tokyo 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.25 44% implied
Kashiwa Reysol 3.60 28% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: preview and prediction

FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 11) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu. FC Tokyo sit 3rd in the table and Kashiwa Reysol 5th. FC Tokyo are 2 points ahead (23 to 21).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 FC Tokyo 10721 21:8 +13 23
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10703 22:17 +5 21

Full J1 League standings

FC Tokyo are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W). Kashiwa Reysol are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L).

In the last 10 meetings, FC Tokyo won 3, Kashiwa Reysol won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.6 for Kashiwa Reysol. It gives FC Tokyo the edge (38% home win, 23% draw, 38% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.33. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.33 odds).

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

It looks very close: our model gives FC Tokyo 38%, the draw 23% and Kashiwa Reysol 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.

More J1 League Tips

12:00 Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka 1X 12:00 Kawasaki Frontale Vissel Kobe 1X 12:00 Kyoto Kashima Antlers X2 12:00 Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka 1X 12:00 Okayama Mito 1X 12:00 Shimizu S-Pulse Machida X2