Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: USL Championship

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 02:00 Group Stage
Orange County SC Orange County SC
9th in table
LLWLL
1 VS 3
Finished
HT 0 - 2
Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising
8th in table
WLLLW
10' P. Mar Boye
15' N. Benalcazar
19' I. Sacko
51' A. Essengue
52' P. Mar Boye
58' I. Sacko
76' Y. Bazini
78' J. Moursou
79' C. Hegardt
81' T. Schmitt

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.67 (66% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Phoenix Rising
66% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.88 31% implied

Draw

3.40 26% implied

Away Win

2.10 43% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.67
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.57
Championship Soccer Stadium M. Corrigan

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Orange County SC wins
2Draws
5Phoenix Rising wins
3Goals per game
89%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
17 May 2026USL League One Cup Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Orange County SC
02 Apr 2026US Open Cup Orange County SC 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising
15 Mar 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Orange County SC
31 Jul 2025USL Championship Orange County SC 4 - 1 Phoenix Rising
08 Jun 2025USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 1 Orange County SC
26 Sep 2024USL Championship Orange County SC 2 - 0 Phoenix Rising
09 Jun 2024USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Orange County SC
29 Oct 2023USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising
01 Oct 2023USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Orange County SC

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 El Paso Locomotive 291559 48:37 +11 50 LWLDW
2 New Mexico United 291478 44:34 +10 49 LWWLL
3 Sacramento Republic 2912125 39:26 +13 48 WDDWW
4 Lexington 2914510 54:36 +18 47 WDWWW
5 Colorado Springs 291289 42:38 +4 44 WDDDD
6 FC Tulsa 2911108 34:29 +5 43 LDDWD
7 San Antonio 2910127 30:29 +1 42 WDLDD
8 Phoenix Rising 2910910 42:43 -1 39 WWLLL
9 Orange County SC 2910910 38:47 -9 39 LLLWL
10 Oakland Roots 299119 37:37 0 38 WDDWW
11 Las Vegas Lights 2910613 40:46 -6 36 LLWLD
12 Monterey Bay 295618 30:51 -21 21 LLWLL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Orange County SC Draw Phoenix Rising
Value spotted: Orange County SC win at 2.88 (model 41% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.6%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.35 Orange County SC · 1.15 Phoenix Rising

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
30%
Attack
70%
48%
Defence
52%
50%
Goal model
50%
29%
Head to head
71%
47%
Goals
53%
39%
Overall
60%

Recent form

1 W 2 D 6 L in the last 9
11 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Orange County SC L
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 2 Monterey Bay L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Lexington 6 - 0 Orange County SC L
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 0 - 2 Las Vegas Lights L
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Orange County SC D
23 Aug 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 5 FC Tulsa L
16 Aug 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 2 - 3 Louisville City L
4 W 2 D 3 L in the last 9
11 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights W
04 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 3 - 0 Phoenix Rising L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive L
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 FC Tulsa W
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Indy Eleven W
23 Aug 2026USL Championship Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Phoenix Rising D
20 Aug 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 1 Colorado Springs W

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
6
6
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
7
10
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
7
7
76-90'
11
7
0-15'
7
4
16-30'
5
8
31-45'
8
8
46-60'
8
7
61-75'
5
11
76-90'
10
Orange County SC Phoenix Rising

Side by side

Orange County SC Phoenix Rising
28 Played 28
10 Won 9
9 Drawn 9
9 Lost 10
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.1 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 0.9
7 Clean sheets 5
5 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-5 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/2 Penalties scored 7/7

What comes next

Orange County SC
San Antonio (A) 25 Oct
Phoenix Rising
Lexington (H) 25 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Orange County SC 2.88 35% implied
Draw 3.40 29% implied
Phoenix Rising 2.10 48% implied
Orange County SC 2.20 45% implied
Phoenix Rising 1.62 62% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 1.5 1.20 83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33 23% implied
Over 2.5 1.65 61% implied
Under 2.5 2.20 45% implied
Over 3.5 2.50 40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50 67% implied
Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17 85% implied
Orange County SC/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Orange County SC/Phoenix Rising 23.00 4% implied
Draw/Phoenix Rising 6.00 17% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Orange County SC/Orange County SC 4.75 21% implied
Draw/Orange County SC 7.50 13% implied
Phoenix Rising/Orange County SC 29.00 3% implied
Phoenix Rising/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Phoenix Rising/Phoenix Rising 3.40 29% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied
No 2.25 44% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
1:2 9.50 11% implied
0:1 10.00 10% implied
1:0 12.00 8% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
0:0 13.00 8% implied
Orange County SC/Draw 1.60 63% implied Our tip
Orange County SC/Phoenix Rising 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Phoenix Rising 1.33 75% implied
Orange County SC 3.40 29% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Phoenix Rising 2.62 38% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising: preview and prediction

Orange County SC host Phoenix Rising in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 02:00 at Championship Soccer Stadium. Orange County SC sit 9th in the table and Phoenix Rising 8th. Both sides are level on 39 points.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
8 Phoenix Rising 2910910 42:43 -1 39
9 Orange County SC 2910910 38:47 -9 39

Full USL Championship standings

Orange County SC are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Phoenix Rising are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Orange County SC won 2, Phoenix Rising won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Orange County SC and 1.15 for Phoenix Rising. It gives Orange County SC the edge (41% home win, 27% draw, 32% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.67. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Who will win Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?

Orange County SC are favourites: our model gives Orange County SC 41%, the draw 27% and Phoenix Rising 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 02:00 at Championship Soccer Stadium.

Who is the referee?

M. Corrigan is in charge of this game.

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