Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

Match Analysis & Predictions

Germany: Bundesliga

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 13:30 Regular Season - 6
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
8th in table
DWLDD
2 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 2
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
15th in table
LWWLD
4' Stefano Marino
18' Stefano Marino
30' Steffen Tigges
59' Niclas Füllkrug
65' Niclas Füllkrug (Penalty)
86' Youri Regeer

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.25 (91% chance) Won

Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw
91% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.80 54% implied

Draw

4.20 23% implied

Away Win

4.10 24% implied
Weser-Stadion, Bremen Robert Schroder

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Werder Bremen wins
3Draws
2SC Paderborn 07 wins
4Goals per game
67%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
08 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
30 Oct 2024DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
19 Oct 2022DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
22 Jan 20222. Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 3 - 4 Werder Bremen
15 Aug 20212. Bundesliga Werder Bremen 1 - 4 SC Paderborn 07
13 Jun 2020Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 5 Werder Bremen
08 Dec 2019Bundesliga Werder Bremen 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07
26 Apr 2015Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
29 Nov 2014Bundesliga Werder Bremen 4 - 0 SC Paderborn 07

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 6420 22:5 +17 14 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 6420 11:4 +7 14 DDWWW
3 SC Freiburg 5410 14:4 +10 13 WDWWW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 5311 14:8 +6 10 WWDWL
5 FSV Mainz 05 6312 14:10 +4 10 WLWLW
6 SV Elversberg 6312 12:11 +1 10 WLDLW
7 RB Leipzig 6303 16:11 +5 9 LWLWL
8 Werder Bremen 6231 12:12 0 9 DDWDW
9 Hamburger SV 6303 6:15 -9 9 WWWLL
10 FC Augsburg 6222 16:12 +4 8 LDLDW
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6222 10:16 -6 8 WLDWL
12 1. FC Köln 6213 8:11 -3 7 LWLDL
13 VfB Stuttgart 6204 8:10 -2 6 LWLLW
14 FC Schalke 04 6123 4:7 -3 5 LLDWD
15 SC Paderborn 07 6123 5:9 -4 5 DLWLL
16 Union Berlin 6123 5:17 -12 5 DWLLL
17 1899 Hoffenheim 5104 9:13 -4 3 LLWLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 5005 7:18 -11 0 LLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 6apps
2 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 5goals 1assists 5apps
3 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 5apps
4 M. OliseBayern München 4goals 1assists 5apps
5 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 5apps
6 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 4goals 0assists 5apps
7 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 4goals 0assists 5apps
8 A. NusaRB Leipzig 3goals 3assists 5apps
9 J. BurkardtEintracht Frankfurt 3goals 1assists 6apps
10 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 3goals 1assists 5apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Werder Bremen Draw SC Paderborn 07
Value spotted: Werder Bremen win at 1.80 (model 64% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.3%
1-1 8.7%
1-0 8.3%
3-1 7.4%
3-0 7%

Expected goals: 2.25 Werder Bremen · 1.05 SC Paderborn 07

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
77%
Attack
23%
41%
Defence
59%
100%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
48%
Goals
52%
59%
Overall
41%

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
09 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Twente 7 - 0 Werder Bremen L
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 3 - 2 FC Augsburg W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga 1. FC Köln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen D
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig W
30 Aug 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen L
22 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Lüneburger SK Hansa 0 - 3 Werder Bremen W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Werder Bremen 0 - 1 Auxerre L
08 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart L
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs DC United 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Phönix Lübeck 2 - 4 SC Paderborn 07 W
08 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
01 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs VfL Osnabrück 0 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 W

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
6
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
3
Werder Bremen SC Paderborn 07

Side by side

Werder Bremen SC Paderborn 07
5 Played 5
2 Won 1
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 3
2 Goals scored per game 0.6
2 Goals conceded per game 1.4
3 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 3-1
4-1 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05 (A) 24 Oct
Borussia Dortmund (A) 27 Oct
1899 Hoffenheim (H) 31 Oct
VfB Stuttgart (A) 07 Nov
Hamburger SV (H) 22 Nov
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV (H) 24 Oct
VfB Stuttgart (H) 28 Oct
Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) 31 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt (H) 07 Nov
Bayer Leverkusen (A) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Werder Bremen
F. Agu Calf Injury
S. Alvero Calf Injury
S. Lynen Hip Injury
S. Musah Muscle Injury
M. N'Diaye Groin Injury
J. Njinmah Thigh Injury
J. Stage Muscle Injury
K. Topp Knee Injury
SC Paderborn 07
N. Awortwie-Grant Knee Injury
T. Gayret Knee Injury
S. Klaas Muscle Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Werder Bremen 1.80 56% implied
Draw 4.20 24% implied
SC Paderborn 07 4.10 24% implied
Werder Bremen 1.33 75% implied
SC Paderborn 07 3.25 31% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50 67% implied
Under 2.5 2.62 38% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
Werder Bremen/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Werder Bremen/SC Paderborn 07 29.00 3% implied
Draw/SC Paderborn 07 9.50 11% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
Werder Bremen/Werder Bremen 2.75 36% implied
Draw/Werder Bremen 5.00 20% implied
SC Paderborn 07/Werder Bremen 19.00 5% implied
SC Paderborn 07/Draw 15.00 7% implied
SC Paderborn 07/SC Paderborn 07 6.50 15% implied
Yes 1.53 65% implied
No 2.38 42% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
3:0 15.00 7% implied
1:2 15.00 7% implied
Werder Bremen/Draw 1.22 82% implied Our tip
Werder Bremen/SC Paderborn 07 1.22 82% implied
Draw/SC Paderborn 07 2.00 50% implied
Werder Bremen 2.25 44% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
SC Paderborn 07 4.33 23% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: preview and prediction

Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 13:30 at Weser-Stadion, Bremen. Werder Bremen sit 8th in the table and SC Paderborn 07 15th. Werder Bremen are 4 points ahead (9 to 5).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
8 Werder Bremen 6231 12:12 0 9
15 SC Paderborn 07 6123 5:9 -4 5

Full Bundesliga standings

Werder Bremen have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-D). SC Paderborn 07 have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Werder Bremen won 4, SC Paderborn 07 won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.05 for SC Paderborn 07. It gives Werder Bremen the edge (64% home win, 19% draw, 16% away win), 64% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.25.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.25 odds).

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Werder Bremen are favourites: our model gives Werder Bremen 64%, the draw 19% and SC Paderborn 07 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 13:30 at Weser-Stadion, Bremen.

Who is the referee?

Robert Schroder is in charge of this game.

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