FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846

Match Analysis & Predictions

Germany: Regionalliga - SudWest

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 12:00 Sudwest - 12
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
14th in table
LWLDD
1 VS 1
Finished
HT 0 - 0
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
17th in table
DLDWD
72' M. Heinrich
83' J. Ugljanin

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.48 (71% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or SSV Ulm 1846
71% confidence

Match Odds · 1xBet

Home Win

2.22 40% implied

Draw

3.65 24% implied

Away Win

2.50 36% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.48
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.41

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2FSV Mainz 05 II wins
1Draws
4SSV Ulm 1846 wins
3Goals per game
43%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
26 Nov 2022Regionalliga - SudWest SSV ULM 1846 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 II
06 Aug 2022Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 0 - 4 SSV ULM 1846
18 Mar 2022Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 0 - 3 SSV ULM 1846
28 Sep 2021Regionalliga - SudWest SSV ULM 1846 0 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 II
13 Mar 2021Regionalliga - SudWest SSV ULM 1846 3 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 II
30 Sep 2020Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 1 SSV ULM 1846
22 Sep 2019Regionalliga - SudWest SSV ULM 1846 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 II

Regionalliga - SudWest table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 SGV Freiberg 12750 31:12 +19 26 WWDDW
2 VfR Aalen 12732 22:11 +11 24 WWWWL
3 VfR Mannheim 12651 20:9 +11 23 WWWWW
4 Stuttgarter Kickers 12723 22:16 +6 23 WLWDW
5 Kickers Offenbach 12624 22:16 +6 20 LDLLW
6 SV Sandhausen 12543 20:21 -1 19 WWDWD
7 Freiburg II 10442 19:13 +6 16 LWWLD
8 TSV Steinbach 12444 20:18 +2 16 LWDWL
9 FC 08 Homburg 11443 15:15 0 16 DDLDW
10 Eintracht Trier 11515 11:15 -4 16 LLWLW
11 Hessen Kassel 12426 20:24 -4 14 LWDLD
12 FSV Frankfurt 11344 17:18 -1 13 DLLLW
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 11416 13:15 -2 13 WLLWL
14 FSV Mainz 05 II 12327 12:23 -11 11 DDLWL
15 FC Astoria Walldorf 12246 16:21 -5 10 LDWLL
16 Kaiserslautern II 12246 12:25 -13 10 LDLDW
17 SSV Ulm 1846 12165 15:22 -7 9 DWDLD
18 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 12138 14:27 -13 6 LLDLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
FSV Mainz 05 II Draw SSV Ulm 1846

Most likely scores

1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
0-1 8.3%
2-1 8.1%
1-0 7.7%
0-2 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.4 FSV Mainz 05 II · 1.5 SSV Ulm 1846

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
33%
Attack
67%
41%
Defence
59%
40%
Goal model
60%
20%
Head to head
80%
22%
Goals
78%
33%
Overall
66%

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 1 SSV Ulm 1846 D
10 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FC Astoria Walldorf 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 II D
03 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 0 - 2 Freiburg II L
26 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest Hessen Kassel 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 II W
19 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 0 - 1 Kaiserslautern II L
12 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SGV Freiberg 5 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 II L
09 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 2 VfR Mannheim L
05 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest Stuttgarter Kickers 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 II W
30 Aug 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 3 VfR Aalen L
22 Aug 2026Regionalliga - SudWest Kickers Offenbach 3 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 II L
1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FSV Mainz 05 II 1 - 1 SSV Ulm 1846 D
10 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SSV Ulm 1846 1 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt II W
03 Oct 2026Regionalliga - SudWest Hessen Kassel 2 - 2 SSV Ulm 1846 D
26 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SSV Ulm 1846 0 - 1 Eintracht Trier L
19 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SV Sandhausen 2 - 2 SSV Ulm 1846 D
12 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SSV Ulm 1846 1 - 2 FSV Frankfurt L
08 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest VfR Aalen 2 - 0 SSV Ulm 1846 L
04 Sep 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SSV Ulm 1846 4 - 4 SGV Freiberg D
29 Aug 2026Regionalliga - SudWest FC Astoria Walldorf 0 - 0 SSV Ulm 1846 D
22 Aug 2026Regionalliga - SudWest SSV Ulm 1846 2 - 2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. D

Season numbers

Regionalliga - SudWest 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
5
3
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
8
FSV Mainz 05 II SSV Ulm 1846

Side by side

FSV Mainz 05 II SSV Ulm 1846
11 Played 11
3 Won 1
1 Drawn 5
7 Lost 5
1 Goals scored per game 1.3
2 Goals conceded per game 1.9
0.8 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.2
0 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win 1-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

What comes next

FSV Mainz 05 II
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (A) 24 Oct
SV Sandhausen (H) 30 Oct
Eintracht Trier (A) 07 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt II (A) 14 Nov
TSV Steinbach (H) 20 Nov
SSV Ulm 1846
FC 08 Homburg (H) 25 Oct
Freiburg II (A) 31 Oct
VfR Mannheim (H) 07 Nov
TSV Steinbach (A) 14 Nov
Kaiserslautern II (H) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: 1xBet
FSV Mainz 05 II 2.22 45% implied
Draw 3.65 27% implied
SSV Ulm 1846 2.50 40% implied
Over 2.5 1.59 63% implied
Under 2.5 2.15 47% implied
Over 3.5 2.61 38% implied
Under 3.5 1.41 71% implied
Yes 1.52 66% implied
No 2.30 43% implied
1:1 6.94 14% implied
0:0 8.80 11% implied
2:1 8.95 11% implied
1:2 9.55 10% implied
1:0 10.00 10% implied
2:0 10.00 10% implied
3:0 10.00 10% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
FSV Mainz 05 II/Draw 1.38 72% implied
FSV Mainz 05 II/SSV Ulm 1846 1.18 85% implied
Draw/SSV Ulm 1846 1.48 68% implied Our tip
FSV Mainz 05 II 2.69 37% implied
Draw 2.42 41% implied
SSV Ulm 1846 2.95 34% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846: preview and prediction

FSV Mainz 05 II host SSV Ulm 1846 in the Germany Regionalliga - SudWest (Sudwest - 12) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:00. FSV Mainz 05 II sit 14th in the table and SSV Ulm 1846 17th. FSV Mainz 05 II are 2 points ahead (11 to 9).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
14 FSV Mainz 05 II 12327 12:23 -11 11
17 SSV Ulm 1846 12165 15:22 -7 9

Full Regionalliga - SudWest standings

FSV Mainz 05 II have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-D). SSV Ulm 1846 have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-D).

In the last 7 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 II won 2, SSV Ulm 1846 won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.5 for SSV Ulm 1846. It gives SSV Ulm 1846 the edge (35% home win, 25% draw, 40% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.48. We also like Un 3.5.

FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.48 odds).

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?

SSV Ulm 1846 are favourites: our model gives FSV Mainz 05 II 35%, the draw 25% and SSV Ulm 1846 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:00.

More Regionalliga - SudWest Tips

14:00 Hannover II Schoningen 1X 14:00 VfB Lubeck St. Pauli II X2 14:00 BFC Preussen Altglienicke X2 14:00 Lokomotive Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1X 14:00 Luckenwalde Jena 2 14:00 Kassel VfR Mannheim X2