Fluminense vs Santos

Match Analysis & Predictions

Brazil: Serie A

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 19:00 Regular Season - 31
Fluminense Fluminense
5th in table
WWLLL
1 VS 2
Finished
HT 1 - 0
Santos Santos
8th in table
LWWDL
4' Rodrigo Castillo
25' Álvaro Barreal
31' Agustín Canobbio
49' Gabriel Barbosa
54' Philippe Coutinho
90+5' Jefferson David Savarino Quintero

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.30 (78% chance) Lost

Double chance : Fluminense or draw
78% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.15 44% implied

Draw

3.60 26% implied

Away Win

3.25 29% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.30
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.70
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Ramon Abatti

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
5Fluminense wins
4Draws
1Santos wins
1.9Goals per game
30%Both scored
30%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 3 Fluminense
31 Aug 2025Serie A Santos 0 - 0 Fluminense
13 Apr 2025Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos
29 Nov 2023Serie A Santos 0 - 3 Fluminense
29 Jul 2023Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos
01 Aug 2022Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Fluminense
09 Apr 2022Serie A Fluminense 0 - 0 Santos
27 Oct 2021Serie A Santos 2 - 0 Fluminense
17 Jun 2021Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos
21 Feb 2021Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Fluminense

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Palmeiras 311993 54:22 +32 66 WWWDW
2 Flamengo 301974 58:25 +33 64 WDWWW
3 Atletico Paranaense 311588 49:37 +12 53 LWDWD
4 Cruzeiro 3115610 50:46 +4 51 WLWWL
5 Fluminense 311498 49:39 +10 51 LLWWL
6 Atletico-MG 311489 42:35 +7 50 WWDWD
7 Bahia 3013107 44:36 +8 49 WLLWW
8 Santos 3112910 48:46 +2 45 WLDWW
9 Sao Paulo 3112613 36:35 +1 42 WWLLW
10 RB Bragantino 3011712 38:35 +3 40 WDLLD
11 Botafogo 3110912 44:48 -4 39 WDLLW
12 Coritiba 3110912 38:49 -11 39 LDLLD
13 Vitoria 3010614 33:44 -11 36 LWLDW
14 Mirassol 319913 36:44 -8 36 WLDWD
15 Vasco DA Gama 309813 36:43 -7 35 LDWWW
16 Corinthians 308814 31:38 -7 32 LLLLL
17 Internacional 3171113 33:40 -7 32 LDWLW
18 Gremio 3171014 34:44 -10 31 LDDDL
19 Remo 3051015 33:48 -15 25 DDLLL
20 Chapecoense-sc 303918 30:62 -32 18 LLLDL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 29apps
2 PedroFlamengo 16goals 6assists 30apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 14goals 3assists 22apps
4 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 24apps
5 Carlos ViníciusGremio 10goals 1assists 29apps
6 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 1assists 26apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 10goals 1assists 26apps
8 Samuel LinoFlamengo 9goals 7assists 29apps
9 J. LópezPalmeiras 9goals 5assists 28apps
10 Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 9goals 5assists 27apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Fluminense Draw Santos
Value spotted: Fluminense win at 2.15 (model 50% vs market 44%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
1-0 8.5%
2-0 7.7%
1-2 6.7%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 1.8 Fluminense · 1.25 Santos

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
50%
Attack
50%
58%
Defence
42%
61%
Goal model
39%
93%
Head to head
7%
80%
Goals
20%
64%
Overall
35%

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos L
15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense L
09 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 4 - 0 Coritiba W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Corinthians 1 - 3 Fluminense W
15 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Platense 2 - 1 Fluminense L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Fluminense L
08 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 2 - 0 Platense W
06 Sep 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W
30 Aug 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 3 - 3 Fluminense D
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos L
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 2 Santos W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos L
13 Sep 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro W
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG W
06 Sep 2026Serie A Internacional 2 - 3 Santos W
03 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
30 Aug 2026Serie A Corinthians 0 - 1 Santos W

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
8
16-30'
8
8
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
13
6
61-75'
6
11
76-90'
12
6
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
8
6
46-60'
5
9
61-75'
8
9
76-90'
9
Fluminense Santos

Side by side

Fluminense Santos
30 Played 30
14 Won 11
9 Drawn 9
7 Lost 10
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.9 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.6
6 Clean sheets 6
4 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 5
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 8/8

What comes next

Fluminense
Palmeiras (A) 22 Oct
Chapecoense-sc (A) 24 Oct
Internacional (H) 28 Oct
Vitoria (A) 06 Nov
Sao Paulo (A) 18 Nov
Santos
Bahia (H) 25 Oct
Palmeiras (H) 28 Oct
RB Bragantino (A) 02 Nov
Coritiba (A) 18 Nov
Gremio (H) 22 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Fluminense
Alisson Hip Injury
G. Cano Hamstring Injury
Guilherme Arana Yellow Cards
John Kennedy Knee Injury
Martinelli Inactive
Matheus Reis Knee Injury
Santos
Arthur Melo Muscle Injury
G. Escobar Inactive
Gabriel Brazao Shoulder Injury
Vinicius Lira Knee Injury
Willian Arao Yellow Cards

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Fluminense 2.15 47% implied
Draw 3.60 28% implied
Santos 3.25 31% implied
Fluminense 1.57 64% implied
Santos 2.25 44% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.25 80% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.75 57% implied
Under 2.5 2.05 49% implied
Over 3.5 3.00 33% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
Fluminense/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Fluminense/Santos 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Santos 7.00 14% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Fluminense/Fluminense 3.50 29% implied
Draw/Fluminense 5.50 18% implied
Santos/Fluminense 23.00 4% implied
Santos/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Santos/Santos 5.00 20% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Fluminense/Draw 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Fluminense/Santos 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Santos 1.67 60% implied
Fluminense 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Santos 3.60 28% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Fluminense vs Santos: preview and prediction

Fluminense host Santos in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 31) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 19:00 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. Fluminense sit 5th in the table and Santos 8th. Fluminense are 6 points ahead (51 to 45).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
5 Fluminense 311498 49:39 +10 51
8 Santos 3112910 48:46 +2 45

Full Serie A standings

Fluminense are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L). Santos have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Fluminense won 5, Santos won 1 and 4 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 30%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Fluminense and 1.25 for Santos. It gives Fluminense the edge (50% home win, 23% draw, 27% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.30. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Fluminense vs Santos FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fluminense vs Santos?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.30 odds).

Who will win Fluminense vs Santos?

Fluminense are favourites: our model gives Fluminense 50%, the draw 23% and Santos 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Fluminense vs Santos?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 19:00 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.

Who is the referee?

Ramon Abatti is in charge of this game.

More Serie A Tips

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