Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg

Match Analysis & Predictions

Russia: Premier League

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 16:30 Regular Season - 11
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
16th in table
WLLLD
2 VS 2
Finished
HT 1 - 1
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
6th in table
LWWWD
5' Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
14' Soltmurad Bakaev
17' Evgeniy Bolotov
25' Jordhy Thompson (Penalty)
26' Jordhy Thompson
26' Soltmurad Bakaev
50' Artem Maksimenko
52' Emil Tsenov
65' Damian Puebla
67' Rodrigo Becão
68' Aleksey Tataev
71' Sergey Volkov
73' Jordhy Thompson (Penalty)
75' Igor Silva
77' Yordy Reyna
80' Andrey Kasadzhikov
89' Egor Nazarenko
90' Ivan Timoshenko

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.45 (87% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or FC Orenburg
87% confidence

Match Odds · Marathonbet

Home Win

3.08 31% implied

Draw

3.48 28% implied

Away Win

2.33 41% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.45
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.30
Super Single X2 @ 1.45
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.33
Mega Tip Unlock VIP
Arena Khimki, Khimki Inal Tanashev

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Rodina Moskva wins
0Draws
1FC Orenburg wins
5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
18 Aug 2026Cup Rodina Moskva 1 - 4 FC Orenburg

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Dynamo 11812 18:9 +9 25 WWWWW
2 Zenit 11803 25:13 +12 24 WWWWL
3 Spartak Moscow 11722 21:8 +13 23 WDWWL
4 CSKA Moscow 11641 19:12 +7 22 LWWDW
5 FC Krasnodar 11641 19:13 +6 22 DLDDD
6 FC Orenburg 11272 13:12 +1 13 DWDLD
7 Baltika 11344 14:12 +2 13 DDLDL
8 Dinamo Makhachkala 11416 16:21 -5 13 DLLLW
9 FC Rostov 11335 11:17 -6 12 DWLLW
10 Rubin 11263 12:16 -4 12 LLDDD
11 Krylia Sovetov 11263 15:17 -2 12 LDDWD
12 Lokomotiv 11254 16:14 +2 11 DWDLW
13 Akhmat 11254 15:16 -1 11 LDLWD
14 Akron 11164 12:20 -8 9 DLWDD
15 Fakel 11137 8:19 -11 6 WLLDL
16 Rodina Moskva 11137 12:27 -15 6 DLDLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 M. GlushenkovZenit 9goals 2assists 10apps
2 A. SobolevZenit 8goals 2assists 11apps
3 I. OblyakovCSKA Moscow 7goals 1assists 11apps
4 G. AgalarovDinamo Makhachkala 5goals 0assists 11apps
5 M. UgaldeSpartak Moscow 5goals 0assists 11apps
6 M. DakuSpartak Moscow 5goals 1assists 10apps
7 K. TyukavinDynamo 5goals 1assists 9apps
8 BatxiFC Krasnodar 4goals 3assists 11apps
9 Gilson BenchimolAkron 4goals 2assists 10apps
10 B. GilBaltika 4goals 1assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Rodina Moskva Draw FC Orenburg
Value spotted: FC Orenburg win at 2.33 (model 49% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
0-1 10%
1-2 9.5%
0-2 8.3%
1-0 7%
2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Rodina Moskva · 1.65 FC Orenburg

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
14%
Form
86%
22%
Attack
78%
27%
Defence
73%
43%
Goal model
57%
20%
Head to head
80%
20%
Goals
80%
24%
Overall
75%

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
19 Oct 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 FC Orenburg D
15 Oct 2026Cup Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Spartak Moscow L
11 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 3 - 0 Rodina Moskva L
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dynamo 3 - 2 Rodina Moskva L
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs FK Partizan 2 - 3 Rodina Moskva W
16 Sep 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 1 - 1 Rubin D
11 Sep 2026Premier League Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva L
06 Sep 2026Premier League Dinamo Makhachkala 2 - 0 Rodina Moskva L
02 Sep 2026Cup Spartak Moscow 3 - 1 Rodina Moskva L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 0 - 3 Baltika L
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
19 Oct 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 FC Orenburg D
15 Oct 2026Cup Rubin 1 - 4 FC Orenburg W
10 Oct 2026Premier League FC Orenburg 4 - 0 Dinamo Makhachkala W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC Orenburg 3 - 2 Tekstilshchik W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv 2 - 0 FC Orenburg L
17 Sep 2026Premier League FC Orenburg 0 - 0 FC Krasnodar D
12 Sep 2026Premier League Dynamo 1 - 0 FC Orenburg L
06 Sep 2026Premier League FC Orenburg 2 - 2 Akron D
02 Sep 2026Cup FC Orenburg 1 - 1 Rubin D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 1 FC Orenburg D

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
3
Rodina Moskva FC Orenburg

Side by side

Rodina Moskva FC Orenburg
10 Played 10
1 Won 2
2 Drawn 6
7 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 1.1
2.5 Goals conceded per game 1
1.5 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.5
0 Clean sheets 3
4 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 4-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 1/3

What comes next

Rodina Moskva
Fakel (A) 24 Oct
FC Orenburg (A) 28 Oct
FC Krasnodar (H) 31 Oct
Akhmat (A) 07 Nov
Lokomotiv (H) 22 Nov
FC Orenburg
Akhmat (A) 23 Oct
Rodina Moskva (H) 28 Oct
CSKA Moscow (H) 01 Nov
Krylia Sovetov (A) 08 Nov
Baltika (H) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Rodina Moskva
I. Pozo Suspended
FC Orenburg
M. Rudakov Arm Injury
M. Savelyev Inactive
D. Vasiljev Inactive

Betting markets

Odds: Marathonbet
Rodina Moskva 3.08 32% implied
Draw 3.48 29% implied
FC Orenburg 2.33 43% implied
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 9.20 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 3.68 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Under 2.5 2.02 50% implied
Over 3.5 2.81 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.36 74% implied
Over 4.5 5.00 20% implied
Under 4.5 1.10 91% implied
Rodina Moskva/Draw 14.25 7% implied
Rodina Moskva/FC Orenburg 27.00 4% implied
Draw/FC Orenburg 5.60 18% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.20 19% implied
Rodina Moskva/Rodina Moskva 4.95 20% implied
Draw/Rodina Moskva 7.00 14% implied
FC Orenburg/Rodina Moskva 31.00 3% implied
FC Orenburg/Draw 14.25 7% implied
FC Orenburg/FC Orenburg 3.60 28% implied
Yes 1.62 62% implied
No 2.16 46% implied
1:1 6.15 16% implied
0:1 8.70 11% implied
1:2 8.70 11% implied
0:0 9.20 11% implied
1:0 10.25 10% implied
2:1 10.25 10% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.25 8% implied
Rodina Moskva/Draw 1.64 61% implied
Rodina Moskva/FC Orenburg 1.33 75% implied
Draw/FC Orenburg 1.40 71% implied Our tip
Rodina Moskva 3.64 27% implied
Draw 2.16 46% implied
FC Orenburg 2.88 35% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg: preview and prediction

Rodina Moskva host FC Orenburg in the Russia Premier League (Regular Season - 11) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:30 at Arena Khimki, Khimki. Rodina Moskva sit 16th in the table and FC Orenburg 6th. FC Orenburg are 7 points ahead (13 to 6).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
6 FC Orenburg 11272 13:12 +1 13
16 Rodina Moskva 11137 12:27 -15 6

Full Premier League standings

Rodina Moskva are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-D). FC Orenburg are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Rodina Moskva won 0, FC Orenburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Rodina Moskva and 1.65 for FC Orenburg. It gives FC Orenburg the edge (27% home win, 24% draw, 49% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.45. We also like Ov 1.5, Un 3.5.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg FAQs

What is the best prediction for Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.45 odds).

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

FC Orenburg are favourites: our model gives Rodina Moskva 27%, the draw 24% and FC Orenburg 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:30 at Arena Khimki, Khimki.

Who is the referee?

Inal Tanashev is in charge of this game.