USD Casatese vs Pro Patria

Match Analysis & Predictions

Italy: Serie D - Girone D

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 13:00 Group D - 8
USD Casatese USD Casatese
6th in table
WWLWL
1 VS 2
Finished
HT 1 - 1
Pro Patria Pro Patria
3rd in table
LDWWW
12' Y. Baraye
33' M. Isella
84' A. Arpino

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.32 (79% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or Pro Patria
79% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win

3.00 30% implied

Draw

3.05 29% implied

Away Win

2.22 41% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 Un 2.5 @ 1.67

Serie D - Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Pistoiese 7700 18:1 +17 21 WWWWW
2 Lentigione 8521 13:8 +5 17 DWWDL
3 Pro Patria 7511 11:4 +7 16 WDLWW
4 Castellanzese 7502 14:5 +9 15 WWWWL
5 Pro Sesto 7421 18:6 +12 14 DDWWW
6 USD Casatese 7412 11:9 +2 13 WLWWL
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 7313 7:5 +2 10 LWLWD
8 Correggese 7313 7:10 -3 10 LWWLW
9 Città di Varese 7232 9:7 +2 9 WLDWD
10 Pavia 7151 7:5 +2 8 DLDDD
11 Sant'Angelo 7223 7:8 -1 8 LLLDW
12 Solbiatese 7142 5:9 -4 7 DDWLD
13 Varesina 7133 9:12 -3 6 DDLLL
14 Coriano 6123 4:6 -2 5 LDWLL
15 Crema 7124 4:14 -10 5 DWLLL
16 Arconatese 7034 4:14 -10 3 LDDLL
17 Oltrepò 7106 4:16 -12 3 LLLLW
18 Pontedera 7106 5:18 -13 3 WLLLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
USD Casatese Draw Pro Patria
Value spotted: Pro Patria win at 2.22 (model 55% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.7%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 7.8%
1-3 6.5%
2-1 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.25 USD Casatese · 2 Pro Patria

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
60%
Attack
40%
11%
Defence
89%
21%
Goal model
79%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
34%
Overall
65%

Recent form

4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 2 Pro Patria L
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Cittadella Vis Modena 0 - 1 USD Casatese W
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 0 - 3 Pistoiese L
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 4 - 2 Varesina W
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Correggese 1 - 3 USD Casatese W
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 2 Sant'Angelo L
12 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Solbiatese 0 - 0 USD Casatese D
06 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 2 - 1 Arconatese W
17 May 2026Serie D - Girone B USD Casatese 2 - 3 Chievo L
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 2 Pro Patria W
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Pro Patria 1 - 0 Sant'Angelo W
07 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie D Città di Varese 2 - 5 Pro Patria W
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Varesina 0 - 0 Pro Patria D
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pro Patria 0 - 1 Solbiatese L
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Arconatese 0 - 3 Pro Patria W
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pro Patria 2 - 0 Crema W
12 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pontedera 2 - 3 Pro Patria W
06 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pro Patria 2 - 1 Oltrepò W
12 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Pro Patria 3 - 1 Gozzano W

Season numbers

Serie D - Girone D 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
USD Casatese Pro Patria

Side by side

USD Casatese Pro Patria
7 Played 7
4 Won 5
1 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.8 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 2
2 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 4
4-2 Biggest win 2-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

USD Casatese
Pavia (A) 25 Oct
Pro Sesto (H) 01 Nov
Castellanzese (A) 08 Nov
Città di Varese (H) 15 Nov
Coriano (A) 22 Nov
Pro Patria
Correggese (H) 25 Oct
Leon (A) 28 Oct
Pavia (A) 01 Nov
Pistoiese (H) 08 Nov
Castellanzese (H) 15 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

USD Casatese vs Pro Patria: preview and prediction

USD Casatese host Pro Patria in the Italy Serie D - Girone D (Group D - 8) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:00. USD Casatese sit 6th in the table and Pro Patria 3rd. Pro Patria are 3 points ahead (16 to 13).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Pro Patria 7511 11:4 +7 16
6 USD Casatese 7412 11:9 +2 13

Full Serie D - Girone D standings

USD Casatese are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-L). Pro Patria are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for USD Casatese and 2 for Pro Patria. It gives Pro Patria the edge (24% home win, 22% draw, 55% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.32. We also like Un 2.5.

USD Casatese vs Pro Patria FAQs

What is the best prediction for USD Casatese vs Pro Patria?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.32 odds).

Who will win USD Casatese vs Pro Patria?

Pro Patria are favourites: our model gives USD Casatese 24%, the draw 22% and Pro Patria 55%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is USD Casatese vs Pro Patria?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:00.

More Serie D - Girone D Tips

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