Valenciennes vs Amiens

Match Analysis & Predictions

France: Ligue 3

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 12:45 Regular Season - 10
Valenciennes Valenciennes
14th in table
LLWLD
1 VS 1
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Amiens Amiens
7th in table
DWDWD
27' A. Nuss
31' R. Boissier
34' M. Colin
37' V. Marcel
56' M. Zogba
68' J. Ndiaye
87' J. Ndiaye (Penalty)

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.40 (93% chance) Won

Combo Double chance : draw or Amiens and -3.5 goals
93% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.45 36% implied

Draw

3.25 27% implied

Away Win

2.45 36% implied
Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Valenciennes wins
2Draws
5Amiens wins
2Goals per game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
13 Jan 2024Ligue 2 Valenciennes 0 - 1 Amiens
23 Sep 2023Ligue 2 Amiens 0 - 0 Valenciennes
22 Apr 2023Ligue 2 Amiens 0 - 2 Valenciennes
26 Dec 2022Ligue 2 Valenciennes 1 - 1 Amiens
02 Apr 2022Ligue 2 Valenciennes 0 - 2 Amiens
23 Oct 2021Ligue 2 Amiens 3 - 0 Valenciennes
20 Apr 2021Ligue 2 Amiens 3 - 1 Valenciennes
18 Dec 2020Ligue 2 Valenciennes 0 - 2 Amiens

Ligue 3 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 La Roche VF 10631 16:10 +6 21 LWWWD
2 Rouen 10622 18:8 +10 20 LWLWW
3 Versailles 10613 15:13 +2 19 WWWDW
4 Caen 10604 19:13 +6 18 WLWLW
5 Concarneau 10451 13:9 +4 17 DWDWW
6 Le Puy Foot 10514 12:9 +3 16 WWLWL
7 Amiens 10442 13:4 +9 16 DWDWD
8 Cannes 10361 12:6 +6 15 LWDDD
9 Fleury 91 10433 16:12 +4 15 WWLDW
10 Gobelins 10433 10:10 0 15 WLWDL
11 Quevilly 10343 11:14 -3 13 WLDDW
12 Thionville Lusitanos 10334 15:16 -1 12 LLLDL
13 Bastia 10334 8:12 -4 12 DDLDW
14 Valenciennes 10235 10:15 -5 9 DLWLL
15 Orleans 10235 9:14 -5 9 LDDLL
16 Aubagne 10217 6:13 -7 7 LLWLL
17 Villefranche 10217 9:23 -14 7 WLLLD
18 Bourg-en-bresse 01 10127 5:16 -11 5 LLDDL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Valenciennes Draw Amiens
Value spotted: Draw at 3.25 (model 35% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

0-0 19.2%
1-0 16.3%
0-1 15.4%
1-1 13.1%
2-0 6.9%
0-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 0.85 Valenciennes · 0.8 Amiens

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals23%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams score32%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
27%
Form
73%
40%
Attack
60%
11%
Defence
89%
40%
Goal model
60%
50%
Head to head
50%
60%
Goals
40%
38%
Overall
62%

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 1 - 1 Amiens D
03 Oct 2026Ligue 3 Versailles 1 - 0 Valenciennes L
26 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 2 - 1 Le Puy Foot W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 3 La Roche VF 3 - 2 Valenciennes L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 1 - 2 Fleury 91 L
03 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Rouen 1 - 1 Valenciennes D
29 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 0 - 0 Concarneau D
20 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Gobelins 2 - 1 Valenciennes L
14 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 2 - 0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 W
07 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Caen 4 - 0 Valenciennes L
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Ligue 3 Valenciennes 1 - 1 Amiens D
03 Oct 2026Ligue 3 Amiens 3 - 0 Villefranche W
26 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Quevilly 1 - 1 Amiens D
19 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Amiens 2 - 0 Orleans W
10 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Cannes 0 - 0 Amiens D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 3 Bastia 0 - 3 Amiens W
29 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Amiens 3 - 0 Versailles W
20 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Le Puy Foot 1 - 0 Amiens L
14 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Amiens 0 - 1 La Roche VF L
07 Aug 2026Ligue 3 Fleury 91 0 - 0 Amiens D

Season numbers

Ligue 3 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
Valenciennes Amiens

Side by side

Valenciennes Amiens
9 Played 9
2 Won 4
2 Drawn 3
5 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.3
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0.8
2 Clean sheets 6
3 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/2 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

Valenciennes
Cannes (A) 31 Oct
Orleans (H) 05 Nov
Quevilly (A) 21 Nov
Villefranche (H) 05 Dec
Bastia (A) 12 Dec
Amiens
Thionville Lusitanos (H) 29 Oct
Aubagne (A) 07 Nov
Caen (H) 19 Nov
Bourg-en-bresse 01 (A) 05 Dec
Gobelins (H) 12 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Valenciennes 2.45 41% implied
Draw 3.25 31% implied
Amiens 2.45 41% implied
Valenciennes 1.83 55% implied
Amiens 1.83 55% implied
Over 0.5 1.07 93% implied
Under 0.5 7.50 13% implied
Over 1.5 1.36 74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00 33% implied
Over 2.5 2.10 48% implied
Under 2.5 1.70 59% implied
Over 3.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25 80% implied
Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.08 93% implied
Valenciennes/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Valenciennes/Amiens 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Amiens 6.00 17% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.00 20% implied
Valenciennes/Valenciennes 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Valenciennes 6.00 17% implied
Amiens/Valenciennes 29.00 3% implied
Amiens/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Amiens/Amiens 4.00 25% implied
Yes 2.00 50% implied
No 1.73 58% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
1:0 8.00 13% implied
0:0 8.00 13% implied
0:1 8.00 13% implied
2:0 12.00 8% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
Valenciennes/Draw 1.44 69% implied
Valenciennes/Amiens 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Amiens 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Valenciennes 3.20 31% implied
Draw 2.05 49% implied
Amiens 3.20 31% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Valenciennes vs Amiens: preview and prediction

Valenciennes host Amiens in the France Ligue 3 (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:45 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes. Valenciennes sit 14th in the table and Amiens 7th. Amiens are 7 points ahead (16 to 9).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
7 Amiens 10442 13:4 +9 16
14 Valenciennes 10235 10:15 -5 9

Full Ligue 3 standings

Valenciennes are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-D). Amiens have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Valenciennes won 1, Amiens won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Valenciennes and 0.8 for Amiens. It gives Valenciennes the edge (34% home win, 35% draw, 31% away win), 23% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.40.

Valenciennes vs Amiens FAQs

What is the best prediction for Valenciennes vs Amiens?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Valenciennes vs Amiens?

It looks very close: our model gives Valenciennes 34%, the draw 35% and Amiens 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 32% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.7 goals in total, with a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Valenciennes vs Amiens?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:45 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes.

More Ligue 3 Tips

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