Brentford vs Liverpool

Match Analysis & Predictions

England: Premier League

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 14:00 Regular Season - 7
Brentford Brentford
6th in table
DWWDL
1 VS 2
Finished
HT 1 - 0
Liverpool Liverpool
5th in table
WWLWW
31' Bradley Barcola
44' Keane Lewis-Potter
45+8' Yehor Yarmoliuk
46' Igor Thiago
49' Jérémy Jacquet
53' Alexis Mac Allister
60' Kevin Schade
62' Víctor Muñoz
63' Vitaly Janelt
70' Alexander Isak
90+2' Vitaly Janelt

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.40 (85% chance) Lost

Double chance : Brentford or draw
85% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.62 36% implied

Draw

3.70 25% implied

Away Win

2.45 39% implied
Gtech Community Stadium, London John Brooks

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Brentford wins
1Draws
6Liverpool wins
3Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
24 May 2026Premier League Liverpool 1 - 1 Brentford
25 Oct 2025Premier League Brentford 3 - 2 Liverpool
18 Jan 2025Premier League Brentford 0 - 2 Liverpool
25 Aug 2024Premier League Liverpool 2 - 0 Brentford
17 Feb 2024Premier League Brentford 1 - 4 Liverpool
12 Nov 2023Premier League Liverpool 3 - 0 Brentford
06 May 2023Premier League Liverpool 1 - 0 Brentford
02 Jan 2023Premier League Brentford 3 - 1 Liverpool
16 Jan 2022Premier League Liverpool 3 - 0 Brentford

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 7700 19:7 +12 21 WWWWW
2 Arsenal 6501 10:5 +5 15 WLWWW
3 Brighton 6411 18:5 +13 13 WWWDL
4 Chelsea 7412 17:13 +4 13 WWLDL
5 Liverpool 7331 9:8 +1 12 WLWDW
6 Brentford 7241 13:8 +5 10 LDWDD
7 Everton 7241 8:7 +1 10 LDWDD
8 Leeds 6231 8:5 +3 9 LDWDD
9 Hull City 7232 8:7 +1 9 LDLDD
10 Ipswich 7304 11:15 -4 9 LWLWL
11 Newcastle 7223 10:14 -4 8 LLWLD
12 Aston Villa 7223 7:11 -4 8 WDWLD
13 Crystal Palace 6213 9:12 -3 7 WDLWL
14 Manchester United 6132 9:9 0 6 DDLDW
15 Coventry 6204 5:11 -6 6 WWLLL
16 Fulham 7124 7:10 -3 5 WLDDL
17 Nottingham Forest 6123 5:8 -3 5 LLWDD
18 Sunderland 6114 6:12 -6 4 LLLDW
19 Bournemouth 6033 7:13 -6 3 LLDDD
20 Tottenham 6033 3:9 -6 3 DLDDL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 6goals 0assists 6apps
2 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 5apps
3 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 6apps
5 A. IsakLiverpool 4goals 0assists 5apps
6 M. BelloumiHull City 3goals 2assists 6apps
7 M. TavernierBournemouth 3goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. SchadeBrentford 3goals 0assists 6apps
9 T. BarryEverton 3goals 0assists 6apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 3goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Brentford Draw Liverpool
Value spotted: Brentford win at 2.62 (model 49% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.5 Brentford · 1 Liverpool

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
64%
Attack
36%
45%
Defence
55%
70%
Goal model
30%
29%
Head to head
71%
31%
Goals
69%
47%
Overall
52%

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford D
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Reading 1 - 2 Brentford W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford D
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford D
25 Aug 2026League Cup Birmingham 1 - 6 Brentford W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Tottenham W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Brentford 7 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lask Linz 3 - 6 Liverpool W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Liverpool 3 - 1 Tottenham W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham D
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
04 Sep 2026Premier League Ipswich 0 - 2 Liverpool W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest D
23 Aug 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool D

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
Brentford Liverpool

Side by side

Brentford Liverpool
6 Played 6
2 Won 2
4 Drawn 3
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.2
1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2.3 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 1.7
2 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 0-2
- Biggest defeat 0-3
0/1 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Brentford
Hull City (A) 25 Oct
Sunderland (A) 28 Oct
Nottingham Forest (H) 31 Oct
Brighton (A) 08 Nov
Everton (H) 23 Nov
Liverpool
Villarreal (H) 20 Oct
Brighton (H) 25 Oct
Chelsea (H) 28 Oct
Arsenal (H) 01 Nov
Fenerbahçe (A) 04 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Brentford
J. Dasilva Muscle Injury
K. Furo Surgery
A. Milambo Knock
J. Schuster Ankle Injury
Liverpool
C. Bradley Knee Injury
H. Ekitike Achilles Tendon Injury
R. Gravenberch Red Card
G. Leoni Knee Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Brentford 2.62 38% implied
Draw 3.70 27% implied
Liverpool 2.45 41% implied
Brentford 1.67 60% implied
Liverpool 2.10 48% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00 20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57 64% implied
Under 2.5 2.38 42% implied
Over 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Under 3.5 1.57 64% implied
Over 4.5 4.33 23% implied
Under 4.5 1.22 82% implied
Brentford/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Brentford/Liverpool 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Liverpool 7.50 13% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
Brentford/Brentford 3.75 27% implied
Draw/Brentford 6.50 15% implied
Liverpool/Brentford 23.00 4% implied
Liverpool/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Liverpool/Liverpool 4.50 22% implied
Yes 1.50 67% implied
No 2.50 40% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
2:0 15.00 7% implied
0:1 15.00 7% implied
0:0 17.00 6% implied
Brentford/Draw 1.40 71% implied Our tip
Brentford/Liverpool 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Liverpool 1.57 64% implied
Brentford 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.40 42% implied
Liverpool 3.20 31% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Brentford vs Liverpool: preview and prediction

Brentford host Liverpool in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:00 at Gtech Community Stadium, London. Brentford sit 6th in the table and Liverpool 5th. Liverpool are 2 points ahead (12 to 10).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
5 Liverpool 7331 9:8 +1 12
6 Brentford 7241 13:8 +5 10

Full Premier League standings

Brentford have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L). Liverpool are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Brentford won 2, Liverpool won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Brentford and 1 for Liverpool. It gives Brentford the edge (49% home win, 26% draw, 25% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.40.

Brentford vs Liverpool FAQs

What is the best prediction for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford are favourites: our model gives Brentford 49%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Brentford vs Liverpool?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:00 at Gtech Community Stadium, London.

Who is the referee?

John Brooks is in charge of this game.

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