Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris

Match Analysis & Predictions

Lithuania: A Lyga

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 15:45 Regular Season - 33

Suduva Marijampole

3rd in table

LDDLL

0 VS 1

Finished

HT 0 - 0

Kauno Žalgiris

1st in table

WLWWL

22' M. Chajia

51' V. Slivka

55' S. Lawson

90+3' Renan Oliveira

90+4' A. Kalik

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.20 (78% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Kauno Žalgiris

78% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.80 24% implied

Draw

3.25 28% implied

Away Win

1.85 49% implied

Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

10games

4Suduva Marijampole wins

4Draws

2Kauno Žalgiris wins

2.6Goals per game

50%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

09 Sep 2026A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

5 - 1

Suduva Marijampole

23 May 2026A Lyga Suduva Marijampole

2 - 1

Kauno Žalgiris

21 Mar 2026A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

1 - 1

Suduva Marijampole

17 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs Suduva Marijampole

0 - 4

Kauno Žalgiris

27 Oct 2025A Lyga Suduva Marijampole

1 - 0

Kauno Žalgiris

24 Sep 2025A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

1 - 1

Suduva Marijampole

10 Aug 2025Cup Kauno Žalgiris

0 - 2

Suduva Marijampole

13 Jun 2025A Lyga Suduva Marijampole

0 - 0

Kauno Žalgiris

12 Apr 2025A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

0 - 0

Suduva Marijampole

09 Nov 2024A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

2 - 4

Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Kauno Žalgiris	29	15	9	5	57:20	+37	54	WWLWW
2	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	30	15	5	10	49:35	+14	50	WWLWD
3	Suduva Marijampole	30	13	11	6	39:30	+9	50	LLDDL
4	TransINVEST Vilnius	29	13	7	9	46:38	+8	46	DWWLW
5	Banga	29	11	8	10	33:30	+3	41	LWLLD
6	Džiugas Telšiai	29	10	9	10	39:43	-4	39	DLLDL
7	Panevėžys	29	10	5	14	31:44	-13	35	WLWWW
8	Hegelmann Litauen	30	4	14	12	32:52	-20	26	LDDLD
9	Šiauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17	LDLLL
10	FK Trakai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0	LLLLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

41% 28% 31%

API-Football

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker

24% 28% 49%

Suduva Marijampole Draw Kauno Žalgiris

Value spotted: Suduva Marijampole win at 3.80 (model 41% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.2%

1-0 12.5%

0-1 10.5%

0-0 10%

2-1 8.2%

2-0 7.8%

Expected goals: 1.25 Suduva Marijampole · 1.05 Kauno Žalgiris

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals67%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams score46%

Team comparison

29%

Form

71%

21%

Attack

79%

27%

Defence

73%

61%

Goal model

39%

50%

Head to head

50%

31%

Goals

69%

36%

Overall

63%

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10

10 Oct 2026A Lyga FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4 - 0

Suduva Marijampole L

29 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Jagiellonia

5 - 0

Suduva Marijampole L

20 Sep 2026A Lyga Hegelmann Litauen

1 - 1

Suduva Marijampole D

13 Sep 2026A Lyga Suduva Marijampole

0 - 0

FK Zalgiris Vilnius D

09 Sep 2026A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

5 - 1

Suduva Marijampole L

06 Sep 2026A Lyga TransINVEST Vilnius

1 - 2

Suduva Marijampole W

30 Aug 2026A Lyga Šiauliai

1 - 2

Suduva Marijampole W

23 Aug 2026A Lyga Suduva Marijampole

2 - 0

Panevėžys W

17 Aug 2026A Lyga Džiugas Telšiai

0 - 2

Suduva Marijampole W

09 Aug 2026A Lyga Banga

0 - 3

Suduva Marijampole W

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10

15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Brighton

4 - 0

Kauno Žalgiris L

11 Oct 2026Cup Minija

0 - 3

Kauno Žalgiris W

20 Sep 2026A Lyga Šiauliai

0 - 2

Kauno Žalgiris W

16 Sep 2026A Lyga FK Zalgiris Vilnius

3 - 2

Kauno Žalgiris L

13 Sep 2026A Lyga Panevėžys

0 - 1

Kauno Žalgiris W

09 Sep 2026A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

5 - 1

Suduva Marijampole W

06 Sep 2026A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris

5 - 0

Džiugas Telšiai W

03 Sep 2026Cup Šiauliai

0 - 1

Kauno Žalgiris W

30 Aug 2026A Lyga Banga

0 - 0

Kauno Žalgiris D

27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa League Kauno Žalgiris

1 - 0

Beşiktaş W

Season numbers

A Lyga 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Suduva Marijampole Kauno Žalgiris

Side by side

Suduva Marijampole Kauno Žalgiris

31 Played 30

15 Won 16

11 Drawn 9

5 Lost 5

1.5 Goals scored per game 2.1

0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.7

1.6 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 1.7

13 Clean sheets 15

8 Failed to score 5

6 Longest winning run 5

5-0 Biggest win 5-0

5-1 Biggest defeat 1-2

2/2 Penalties scored 4/4

What comes next

Suduva Marijampole

Kauno Žalgiris (H) 19 Oct

FK Trakai (A) 25 Oct

Banga (H) 01 Nov

Džiugas Telšiai (H) 08 Nov

Kauno Žalgiris

Suduva Marijampole (A) 19 Oct

Brann (H) 22 Oct

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (H) 26 Oct

Hegelmann Litauen (A) 31 Oct

FC Lugano (A) 05 Nov

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Suduva Marijampole 3.80 26% implied

Draw 3.25 31% implied

Kauno Žalgiris 1.85 54% implied

Suduva Marijampole 2.75 36% implied

Kauno Žalgiris 1.40 71% implied

Over 0.5 1.07 93% implied

Under 0.5 7.50 13% implied

Over 1.5 1.36 74% implied

Under 1.5 3.00 33% implied

Over 2.5 2.15 47% implied

Under 2.5 1.67 60% implied

Over 3.5 3.75 27% implied

Under 3.5 1.25 80% implied

Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied

Under 4.5 1.08 93% implied

Suduva Marijampole/Draw 17.00 6% implied

Suduva Marijampole/Kauno Žalgiris 29.00 3% implied

Draw/Kauno Žalgiris 4.75 21% implied Our tip

Draw/Draw 5.00 20% implied

Suduva Marijampole/Suduva Marijampole 6.50 15% implied

Draw/Suduva Marijampole 8.50 12% implied

Kauno Žalgiris/Suduva Marijampole 41.00 2% implied

Kauno Žalgiris/Draw 17.00 6% implied

Kauno Žalgiris/Kauno Žalgiris 3.00 33% implied

Yes 2.00 50% implied

No 1.73 58% implied

1:1 6.50 15% implied

0:1 6.50 15% implied

0:0 8.50 12% implied

0:2 8.50 12% implied

1:2 9.00 11% implied

1:0 10.00 10% implied

2:1 15.00 7% implied

0:3 15.00 7% implied

Suduva Marijampole/Draw 1.80 56% implied

Suduva Marijampole/Kauno Žalgiris 1.25 80% implied

Draw/Kauno Žalgiris 1.18 85% implied Our tip

Suduva Marijampole 4.50 22% implied

Draw 2.05 49% implied

Kauno Žalgiris 2.50 40% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris: preview and prediction

Suduva Marijampole host Kauno Žalgiris in the Lithuania A Lyga (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 15:45 at Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole. Suduva Marijampole sit 3rd in the table and Kauno Žalgiris 1st. Kauno Žalgiris are 4 points ahead (54 to 50).

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	29	15	9	5	57:20	+37	54
3	Suduva Marijampole	30	13	11	6	39:30	+9	50

Full A Lyga standings

Suduva Marijampole are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-L). Kauno Žalgiris are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Suduva Marijampole won 4, Kauno Žalgiris won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Suduva Marijampole and 1.05 for Kauno Žalgiris. It gives Suduva Marijampole the edge (41% home win, 28% draw, 31% away win), 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.20.

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris FAQs

What is the best prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.20 odds).

Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Suduva Marijampole are favourites: our model gives Suduva Marijampole 41%, the draw 28% and Kauno Žalgiris 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 15:45 at Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole.