Aris vs AEK Larnaca

Match Analysis & Predictions

Cyprus: 1. Division

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 16:00 Regular Season - 6
Aris Aris
6th in table
WLWWD
1 VS 1
Finished
HT 1 - 0
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
2nd in table
WWWWD
21' Veljko Nikolić
60' Sven Kohler
68' Kerim Mrabti
82' Werton
90' charalampos charalampous
90+1' Nicolas Andereggen

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.44 (88% chance) Won

Winner : AEK Larnaca
88% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.75 34% implied

Draw

3.10 30% implied

Away Win

2.55 36% implied
Alphamega Stadium, Limassol Dimitris Solomou

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2Aris wins
3Draws
5AEK Larnaca wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
22 May 20261. Division Aris 3 - 4 AEK Larnaca
25 Apr 20261. Division AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 Aris
10 Jan 20261. Division Aris 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca
22 Sep 20251. Division AEK Larnaca 3 - 2 Aris
27 Apr 20251. Division Aris 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca
29 Mar 20251. Division AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Aris
09 Feb 20251. Division Aris 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca
03 Nov 20241. Division AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 Aris
14 Apr 20241. Division Aris 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca
04 Mar 20241. Division AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Aris

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Apollon Limassol 6330 14:8 +6 12 WWDDW
2 AEK Larnaca 5401 10:4 +6 12 WWLWW
3 AEL 5401 8:8 0 12 WWWLW
4 Omonia Nicosia 5320 11:2 +9 11 WWDWD
5 Pafos 5311 7:3 +4 10 WLWDW
6 Aris 5221 6:7 -1 8 WDWLD
7 Apoel Nicosia 5212 12:8 +4 7 WDLWL
8 Omonia Aradippou 5131 4:4 0 6 LDDWD
9 Omonia 29is Maiou 5122 10:9 +1 5 LLDDW
10 Olympiakos 5041 8:9 -1 4 LDDDD
11 Nea Salamis 6114 11:15 -4 4 LLWLL
12 Krasava Ypsonas 6105 5:14 -9 3 WLLLL
13 Anorthosis 5104 4:12 -8 3 LLWLL
14 Karmiotissa 6033 4:11 -7 3 LLDDD

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Aris Draw AEK Larnaca
Value spotted: AEK Larnaca win at 2.55 (model 70% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

0-2 9.4%
1-2 9.4%
0-3 7.9%
1-3 7.9%
0-1 7.5%
1-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 1 Aris · 2.5 AEK Larnaca

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
38%
Attack
63%
36%
Defence
64%
14%
Goal model
86%
40%
Head to head
60%
44%
Goals
56%
35%
Overall
64%

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
18 Oct 20261. Division Aris 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca D
14 Oct 2026Cup Aris 4 - 0 Ethnikos Achna W
11 Oct 20261. Division Olympiakos 1 - 2 Aris W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aris 1 - 2 Riga L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Aris 4 - 2 Omonia 29is Maiou W
20 Sep 20261. Division Aris 0 - 0 Karmiotissa D
14 Sep 20261. Division Krasava Ypsonas 0 - 1 Aris W
07 Sep 20261. Division Aris 1 - 4 Omonia Nicosia L
29 Aug 20261. Division Aris 2 - 2 Apollon Limassol D
09 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Union Berlin 3 - 2 Aris L
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
18 Oct 20261. Division Aris 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca D
12 Oct 20261. Division AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Omonia Aradippou W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs AEK Larnaca 3 - 0 Apollon Limassol W
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs AEK Larnaca 2 - 1 Nea Salamis W
18 Sep 20261. Division Omonia 29is Maiou 1 - 2 AEK Larnaca W
13 Sep 20261. Division AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 Pafos L
06 Sep 20261. Division Nea Salamis 1 - 4 AEK Larnaca W
29 Aug 20261. Division AEK Larnaca 3 - 1 Apoel Nicosia W
08 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 Omonia Aradippou L
30 Jul 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Beitar Jerusalem 2 - 3 AEK Larnaca W

Season numbers

1. Division 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
Aris AEK Larnaca

Side by side

Aris AEK Larnaca
5 Played 5
2 Won 4
2 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
1.2 Goals scored per game 2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 3
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
1-2 Biggest win 3-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/1

What comes next

Aris
AEL (A) 25 Oct
Anorthosis (H) 01 Nov
Apoel Nicosia (A) 08 Nov
Nea Salamis (H) 21 Nov
Pafos (A) 29 Nov
AEK Larnaca
Akritas (H) 21 Oct
Omonia Nicosia (H) 26 Oct
Krasava Ypsonas (A) 31 Oct
Karmiotissa (H) 07 Nov
Olympiakos (A) 22 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Aris 2.75 36% implied
Draw 3.10 32% implied
AEK Larnaca 2.55 39% implied
Aris 1.83 55% implied
AEK Larnaca 1.83 55% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.75 57% implied
Under 2.5 2.05 49% implied
Over 3.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.00 20% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
Aris/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Aris/AEK Larnaca 26.00 4% implied
Draw/AEK Larnaca 6.50 15% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Aris/Aris 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Aris 6.50 15% implied
AEK Larnaca/Aris 26.00 4% implied
AEK Larnaca/Draw 15.00 7% implied
AEK Larnaca/AEK Larnaca 4.00 25% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied
No 2.25 44% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
2:0 15.00 7% implied
Aris/Draw 1.44 69% implied
Aris/AEK Larnaca 1.36 74% implied
Draw/AEK Larnaca 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Aris 3.00 33% implied
Draw 2.25 44% implied
AEK Larnaca 3.00 33% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Aris vs AEK Larnaca: preview and prediction

Aris host AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus 1. Division (Regular Season - 6) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 16:00 at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. Aris sit 6th in the table and AEK Larnaca 2nd. AEK Larnaca are 4 points ahead (12 to 8).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
2 AEK Larnaca 5401 10:4 +6 12
6 Aris 5221 6:7 -1 8

Full 1. Division standings

Aris are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D). AEK Larnaca are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Aris won 2, AEK Larnaca won 5 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Aris and 2.5 for AEK Larnaca. It gives AEK Larnaca the edge (13% home win, 17% draw, 70% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.44.

Aris vs AEK Larnaca FAQs

What is the best prediction for Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

AEK Larnaca are favourites: our model gives Aris 13%, the draw 17% and AEK Larnaca 70%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 16:00 at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol.

Who is the referee?

Dimitris Solomou is in charge of this game.

More 1. Division Tips

17:00 Omonia Aradippou AEL Limassol 1X 18:00 Omonia 29th May Anorthosis 1X