North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: NWSL Women

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 23:00 Group Stage
North Carolina Courage W North Carolina Courage W
8th in table
LLLWL
1 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 1
San Diego Wave W San Diego Wave W
3rd in table
WWWWW
4' Melanie Barcenas
26' Kennedy Wesley
52' Trinity Byars
60' Natalie Jacobs
83' Vilde Risa

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.44 (65% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or San Diego Wave W
65% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.30 39% implied

Draw

3.50 25% implied

Away Win

2.50 36% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.44
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.44
WakeMed Soccer Park, Kari Brad Jensen

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2North Carolina Courage W wins
3Draws
4San Diego Wave W wins
2.6Goals per game
56%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
12 Sep 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 2 - 1 North Carolina Courage W
02 Aug 2025NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 0 - 0 San Diego Wave W
26 May 2025NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 5 - 2 North Carolina Courage W
05 Oct 2024NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 2 - 1 San Diego Wave W
09 Sep 2024NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 1 - 4 North Carolina Courage W
07 Oct 2023NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 0 - 0 San Diego Wave W
02 Apr 2023NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 3 - 1 North Carolina Courage W
01 Oct 2022NWSL Women San Diego Wave 0 - 0 North Carolina Courage W
22 May 2022NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 0 - 1 San Diego Wave

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 281675 35:22 +13 55 LDWWW
2 Washington Spirit W 281648 40:26 +14 52 WWLWL
3 San Diego Wave W 271638 40:28 +12 51 WWWWL
4 Utah Royals W 271449 44:35 +9 46 DWLWL
5 Kansas City W 271359 48:38 +10 44 WWLDW
6 Angel City W 271278 45:29 +16 43 DWWWD
7 Portland Thorns W 271278 45:39 +6 43 LDWDL
8 North Carolina Courage W 2713311 50:39 +11 42 WLLLW
9 Seattle Reign FC W 2712411 33:32 +1 40 LWLLW
10 Denver Summit W 271089 45:37 +8 38 WLWDD
11 Orlando Pride W 2710314 36:43 -7 33 LWLDW
12 Boston Legacy W 289514 38:47 -9 32 WWLLW
13 Houston Dash W 278613 34:39 -5 30 LDWLL
14 Bay FC W 277515 28:42 -14 26 LLWDL
15 Racing Louisville W 287318 37:54 -17 24 LDLLL
16 Chicago Red Stars W 275220 15:63 -48 17 LLLDL

Top scorers

NWSL Women
1 A. SanchezNorth Carolina Courage W 16goals 4assists 27apps
2 B. BandaOrlando Pride W 16goals 3assists 23apps
3 T. ChawingaKansas City W 12goals 3assists 16apps
4 S. SmithPortland Thorns W 11goals 4assists 27apps
5 J. ShawNJ/NY Gotham FC W 10goals 3assists 24apps
6 T. RodmanWashington Spirit W 9goals 5assists 27apps
7 H. HopkinsKansas City W 9goals 4assists 27apps
8 T. ByarsSan Diego Wave W 9goals 3assists 22apps
9 A. TraoréBoston Legacy W 9goals 1assists 26apps
10 K. RaderHouston Dash W 9goals 1assists 27apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
North Carolina Courage W Draw San Diego Wave W

Most likely scores

1-1 11%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 7.3%
1-0 7.1%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.5 North Carolina Courage W · 1.55 San Diego Wave W

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
56%
Attack
44%
33%
Defence
67%
41%
Goal model
59%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
43%
Overall
56%

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 1 - 2 San Diego Wave W L
03 Oct 2026NWSL Women Seattle Reign FC W 0 - 1 North Carolina Courage W W
27 Sep 2026NWSL Women Utah Royals W 2 - 1 North Carolina Courage W L
19 Sep 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 1 - 2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W L
12 Sep 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 2 - 1 North Carolina Courage W L
06 Sep 2026NWSL Women Chicago Red Stars W 0 - 6 North Carolina Courage W W
29 Aug 2026NWSL Women Kansas City W 3 - 2 North Carolina Courage W L
27 Aug 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 2 - 0 Angel City W W
22 Aug 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 2 - 1 Boston Legacy W W
16 Aug 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 2 - 3 Houston Dash W L
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026NWSL Women North Carolina Courage W 1 - 2 San Diego Wave W W
03 Oct 2026NWSL Women Orlando Pride W 1 - 2 San Diego Wave W W
25 Sep 2026NWSL Women Racing Louisville W 0 - 2 San Diego Wave W W
19 Sep 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 2 - 0 Kansas City W W
12 Sep 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 2 - 1 North Carolina Courage W W
07 Sep 2026NWSL Women Seattle Reign FC W 1 - 0 San Diego Wave W L
29 Aug 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 3 - 2 Racing Louisville W W
22 Aug 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 4 - 2 Utah Royals W W
15 Aug 2026NWSL Women San Diego Wave W 1 - 1 Denver Summit W D
08 Aug 2026NWSL Women NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1 - 0 San Diego Wave W L

Season numbers

NWSL Women 2026

When the goals come

8
0-15'
6
5
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
3
7
46-60'
7
10
61-75'
5
14
76-90'
11
7
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
8
9
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
2
North Carolina Courage W San Diego Wave W

Side by side

North Carolina Courage W San Diego Wave W
27 Played 27
13 Won 16
3 Drawn 3
11 Lost 8
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1
2 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.5
8 Clean sheets 7
4 Failed to score 8
4 Longest winning run 5
5-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
6/6 Penalties scored 0/2

What comes next

North Carolina Courage W
Portland Thorns W (A) 24 Oct
Denver Summit W (H) 01 Nov
San Diego Wave W
Boston Legacy W (H) 25 Oct
Bay FC W (A) 01 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
North Carolina Courage W 2.30 43% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
San Diego Wave W 2.50 40% implied
North Carolina Courage W 1.80 56% implied
San Diego Wave W 1.91 52% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.20 83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33 23% implied
Over 2.5 1.62 62% implied
Under 2.5 2.25 44% implied
Over 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Under 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.22 82% implied
North Carolina Courage W/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
North Carolina Courage W/San Diego Wave W 23.00 4% implied
Draw/San Diego Wave W 6.50 15% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
North Carolina Courage W/North Carolina Courage W 3.60 28% implied
Draw/North Carolina Courage W 6.50 15% implied
San Diego Wave W/North Carolina Courage W 23.00 4% implied
San Diego Wave W/Draw 15.00 7% implied
San Diego Wave W/San Diego Wave W 4.00 25% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied
No 2.25 44% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
1:0 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
North Carolina Courage W/Draw 1.44 69% implied Our tip
North Carolina Courage W/San Diego Wave W 1.22 82% implied
Draw/San Diego Wave W 1.50 67% implied
North Carolina Courage W 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.40 42% implied
San Diego Wave W 3.00 33% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W: preview and prediction

North Carolina Courage W host San Diego Wave W in the USA NWSL Women (Group Stage) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:00 at WakeMed Soccer Park, Kari. North Carolina Courage W sit 8th in the table and San Diego Wave W 3rd. San Diego Wave W are 9 points ahead (51 to 42).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 San Diego Wave W 271638 40:28 +12 51
8 North Carolina Courage W 2713311 50:39 +11 42

Full NWSL Women standings

North Carolina Courage W are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L). San Diego Wave W are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, North Carolina Courage W won 2, San Diego Wave W won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for North Carolina Courage W and 1.55 for San Diego Wave W. It gives San Diego Wave W the edge (37% home win, 24% draw, 39% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.44. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W FAQs

What is the best prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.44 odds).

Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

San Diego Wave W are favourites: our model gives North Carolina Courage W 37%, the draw 24% and San Diego Wave W 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:00 at WakeMed Soccer Park, Kari.

Who is the referee?

Brad Jensen is in charge of this game.

More NWSL Women Tips

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