Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm

Match Analysis & Predictions

Honduras: Liga Nacional

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 01:30 Apertura - 10
Atletico Independiente Atletico Independiente
7th in table
LDWLD
0 VS 4
Finished
HT 0 - 2
Lobos Upnfm Lobos Upnfm
9th in table
LLWWD
43' D. Carter
45+1' Y. Hinestroza
56' M. Juan
69'
72' D. Carter (Penalty)
78' J. Garcia
83' A. Cabrera
90+2' J. Glavocic

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.40 (80% chance) Lost

Combo Double chance : Atletico Independiente or draw and -3.5 goals
80% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.62 34% implied

Draw

3.20 28% implied

Away Win

2.35 38% implied
Estadio Carlos Miranda, Comayagua

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CD Olimpia 10721 22:8 +14 23 WWWLW
2 CD Marathon 10631 16:7 +9 21 WDLWW
3 Real Espana 10631 15:6 +9 21 LWWDW
4 CD Motagua 10613 15:9 +6 19 WWLWD
5 Olancho 10262 8:8 0 12 LDDDD
6 Génesis 9324 10:7 +3 11 LDLWL
7 Atletico Independiente 9243 8:12 -4 10 DLWDL
8 Estrella Roja 9234 13:17 -4 9 LLDLD
9 Lobos Upnfm 9234 7:12 -5 9 DWWLL
10 Platense FC 10226 8:21 -13 8 LWLDL
11 Atlético Choloma 9216 7:10 -3 7 LWLDL
12 Juticalpa 9207 9:21 -12 6 LWLLW

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Atletico Independiente Draw Lobos Upnfm
Value spotted: Atletico Independiente win at 2.62 (model 58% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-0 16.3%
2-0 12.7%
1-1 11.4%
0-0 10.5%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.55 Atletico Independiente · 0.7 Lobos Upnfm

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
57%
Attack
43%
27%
Defence
73%
77%
Goal model
23%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
50%
Overall
49%

Recent form

2 W 4 D 3 L in the last 9
11 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 Atletico Independiente D
20 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Olimpia 4 - 0 Atletico Independiente L
14 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Atletico Independiente 2 - 1 Juticalpa W
05 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Atletico Independiente 0 - 0 CD Motagua D
29 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Platense FC 2 - 1 Atletico Independiente L
22 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Atletico Independiente 1 - 1 Génesis D
16 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Real Espana 1 - 1 Atletico Independiente D
10 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Atletico Independiente 2 - 1 Atlético Choloma W
04 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 1 - 0 Atletico Independiente L
2 W 3 D 4 L in the last 9
11 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 0 - 0 CD Marathon D
18 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Platense FC 0 - 2 Lobos Upnfm W
13 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 1 - 0 Atlético Choloma W
06 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Real Espana 2 - 0 Lobos Upnfm L
29 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Juticalpa 1 - 0 Lobos Upnfm L
22 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Motagua 4 - 1 Lobos Upnfm L
15 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 2 - 2 Estrella Roja D
08 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 1 - 1 Olancho D
03 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Olimpia 2 - 0 Lobos Upnfm L

Season numbers

Liga Nacional 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
3
Atletico Independiente Lobos Upnfm

Side by side

Atletico Independiente Lobos Upnfm
9 Played 9
2 Won 2
4 Drawn 3
3 Lost 4
0.9 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.3 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.6
1 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 1-0
4-0 Biggest defeat 4-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Atletico Independiente
CD Marathon (H) 25 Oct
Estrella Roja (A) 31 Oct
Atlético Choloma (A) 05 Nov
Real Espana (H) 08 Nov
Génesis (A) 19 Nov
Lobos Upnfm
CD Olimpia (H) 25 Oct
Génesis (H) 31 Oct
Olancho (A) 04 Nov
CD Motagua (H) 07 Nov
Estrella Roja (A) 18 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Atletico Independiente 2.62 38% implied
Draw 3.20 31% implied
Lobos Upnfm 2.35 43% implied
Atletico Independiente 2.00 50% implied
Lobos Upnfm 1.73 58% implied
Over 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Atletico Independiente/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Atletico Independiente/Lobos Upnfm 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Lobos Upnfm 6.00 17% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Atletico Independiente/Atletico Independiente 4.33 23% implied
Draw/Atletico Independiente 6.50 15% implied
Lobos Upnfm/Atletico Independiente 29.00 3% implied
Lobos Upnfm/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Lobos Upnfm/Lobos Upnfm 3.75 27% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
0:1 8.50 12% implied
0:0 9.00 11% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
Atletico Independiente/Draw 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Atletico Independiente/Lobos Upnfm 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Lobos Upnfm 1.40 71% implied
Atletico Independiente 3.25 31% implied
Draw 2.10 48% implied
Lobos Upnfm 3.00 33% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm: preview and prediction

Atletico Independiente host Lobos Upnfm in the Honduras Liga Nacional (Apertura - 10) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Carlos Miranda, Comayagua. Atletico Independiente sit 7th in the table and Lobos Upnfm 9th. Atletico Independiente are 1 point ahead (10 to 9).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
7 Atletico Independiente 9243 8:12 -4 10
9 Lobos Upnfm 9234 7:12 -5 9

Full Liga Nacional standings

Atletico Independiente have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-D). Lobos Upnfm have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-D).

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Atletico Independiente and 0.7 for Lobos Upnfm. It gives Atletico Independiente the edge (58% home win, 25% draw, 17% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.40.

Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?

Atletico Independiente are favourites: our model gives Atletico Independiente 58%, the draw 25% and Lobos Upnfm 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Carlos Miranda, Comayagua.

More Liga Nacional Tips

01:15 Juticalpa Choloma 1X 23:00 Genesis Estrella Roja 1X