Millwall vs Lincoln

Match Analysis & Predictions

England: Championship

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 11:30 Regular Season - 11
Millwall Millwall
12th in table
DDWLD
2 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 2
Lincoln Lincoln
18th in table
WLLLD
1' Andrei Coubiș
33' Robert Nicholas Street
35' Tristan Crama
35' Robert Nicholas Street
41' F. Draper
63' Kyrell Lisbie
69' Andrei Coubiș
72' Kyrell Lisbie
82' Jake Cooper
84' Deji Elerewe
86' Zak Sturge
90+1' Ryan Leonard
90+1' Callum Elder
90+2' Camiel Neghli

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.20 (81% chance) Won

Double chance : Millwall or draw
81% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.57 60% implied

Draw

3.90 24% implied

Away Win

5.75 16% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.20
Home Win 1 @ 1.67
The Den, London Ruebyn Ricardo

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Swansea 11722 16:8 +8 23 LWWWW
2 West Ham 11641 30:12 +18 22 WWDDW
3 Middlesbrough 11641 22:16 +6 22 DWWDD
4 Birmingham 11551 20:11 +9 20 WWWDW
5 West Brom 11623 15:12 +3 20 WWLLD
6 Stoke City 11614 18:16 +2 19 WLWWW
7 Southampton 11632 21:10 +11 17 DWWLW
8 Wolves 10523 18:15 +3 17 WLLWW
9 QPR 11452 15:12 +3 17 LWDDD
10 Blackburn 11434 17:16 +1 15 LWWDW
11 Sheffield Utd 11434 15:14 +1 15 WLWLL
12 Millwall 11434 18:18 0 15 DLWDD
13 Portsmouth 10424 13:13 0 14 WWLDD
14 Wrexham 11353 15:16 -1 14 WLDWL
15 Bolton 11425 15:18 -3 14 DWLWW
16 Bristol City 11425 12:15 -3 14 LLDWL
17 Charlton 11353 10:15 -5 14 LDDLD
18 Lincoln 11335 9:19 -10 12 DLLLW
19 Cardiff 11254 18:17 +1 11 DWLWL
20 Watford 11326 10:19 -9 11 WLLLL
21 Norwich 11308 17:21 -4 9 LLLLL
22 Burnley 11155 16:21 -5 8 LDWDL
23 Derby 11137 9:20 -11 6 LLDDL
24 Preston 11119 9:24 -15 4 LLLDL

Top scorers

Championship
1 W. LankshearMiddlesbrough 8goals 0assists 10apps
2 C. LarinSouthampton 7goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BowenWest Ham 6goals 5assists 10apps
4 Fer LópezWolves 5goals 2assists 10apps
5 K. MavropanosWest Ham 5goals 0assists 9apps
6 M. TouréNorwich 5goals 0assists 7apps
7 J. MoylanCardiff 5goals 2assists 10apps
8 O. AfolayanBlackburn 4goals 2assists 10apps
9 K. MooreWrexham 4goals 1assists 10apps
10 T. CampbellCharlton 4goals 1assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Millwall Draw Lincoln
Value spotted: Lincoln win at 5.75 (model 27% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.7%
1-1 12.7%
0-0 9.1%
0-1 9.1%
2-0 8.9%
2-1 8.9%

Expected goals: 1.4 Millwall · 1 Lincoln

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
45%
Form
55%
67%
Attack
33%
58%
Defence
42%
61%
Goal model
39%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
57%
Overall
42%

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Championship Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln D
13 Oct 2026Championship Millwall 0 - 1 Swansea L
10 Oct 2026Championship Preston 0 - 1 Millwall W
19 Sep 2026Championship Millwall 2 - 2 West Ham D
15 Sep 2026Championship Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Millwall D
12 Sep 2026Championship Blackburn 3 - 1 Millwall L
08 Sep 2026League Cup Millwall 0 - 1 Newcastle L
05 Sep 2026Championship Millwall 4 - 0 Bolton W
02 Sep 2026Championship Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham L
29 Aug 2026Championship Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall L
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Championship Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln D
14 Oct 2026Championship Lincoln 0 - 6 West Ham L
10 Oct 2026Championship Sheffield Utd 3 - 0 Lincoln L
19 Sep 2026Championship Lincoln 1 - 2 Swansea L
15 Sep 2026Championship Bristol City 0 - 1 Lincoln W
12 Sep 2026Championship Preston 0 - 1 Lincoln W
08 Sep 2026League Cup Bournemouth 4 - 0 Lincoln L
05 Sep 2026Championship Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton D
01 Sep 2026Championship Lincoln 0 - 0 Blackburn D
29 Aug 2026Championship Bolton 0 - 1 Lincoln W

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
4
Millwall Lincoln

Side by side

Millwall Lincoln
10 Played 10
4 Won 3
2 Drawn 2
4 Lost 5
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.7
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.8 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 0.6 / 0.8
4 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 0-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-6
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

Millwall
Portsmouth (A) 24 Oct
Derby (H) 31 Oct
Birmingham (A) 03 Nov
West Brom (A) 07 Nov
QPR (H) 21 Nov
Lincoln
Burnley (H) 24 Oct
Birmingham (H) 31 Oct
Watford (A) 03 Nov
QPR (A) 07 Nov
Wrexham (H) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Millwall
T. Arconte Ankle Injury
J. Coburn Muscle Injury
C. De Norre Muscle Injury
M. Ivanovic Hamstring Injury
L. Jensen Muscle Injury
M. Luongo Knee Injury
M. Servais Inactive
Lincoln
T. Darikwa Knee Injury
T. Hamer Red Card
C. McGrandles Red Card
M. Melia Thigh Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Millwall 1.57 64% implied Our tip
Draw 3.90 26% implied
Lincoln 5.75 17% implied
Millwall 1.28 78% implied Our tip
Lincoln 3.50 29% implied
Over 0.5 1.07 93% implied
Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.33 75% implied
Under 1.5 3.40 29% implied
Over 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Over 3.5 3.50 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30 77% implied
Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.10 91% implied
Millwall/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Millwall/Lincoln 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Lincoln 9.50 11% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Millwall/Millwall 2.75 36% implied
Draw/Millwall 4.75 21% implied
Lincoln/Millwall 21.00 5% implied
Lincoln/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Lincoln/Lincoln 7.50 13% implied
Yes 1.83 55% implied
No 1.83 55% implied
1:0 6.50 15% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
2:0 8.00 13% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
0:0 9.00 11% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
3:1 15.00 7% implied
Millwall/Draw 1.18 85% implied Our tip
Millwall/Lincoln 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Lincoln 2.05 49% implied
Millwall 2.38 42% implied Our tip
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Lincoln 5.00 20% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Millwall vs Lincoln: preview and prediction

Millwall host Lincoln in the England Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 11:30 at The Den, London. Millwall sit 12th in the table and Lincoln 18th. Millwall are 3 points ahead (15 to 12).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
12 Millwall 11434 18:18 0 15
18 Lincoln 11335 9:19 -10 12

Full Championship standings

Millwall have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-D). Lincoln are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-D).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Millwall and 1 for Lincoln. It gives Millwall the edge (46% home win, 27% draw, 27% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.20. We also like Home Win (1).

Millwall vs Lincoln FAQs

What is the best prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.20 odds).

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?

Millwall are favourites: our model gives Millwall 46%, the draw 27% and Lincoln 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Millwall vs Lincoln?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 11:30 at The Den, London.

Who is the referee?

Ruebyn Ricardo is in charge of this game.

More Championship Tips