Monza vs Cagliari

Match Analysis & Predictions

Italy: Serie A

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 16:30 Regular Season - 7

Monza

15th in table

WLDLW

4 VS 0

Finished

HT 1 - 0

Cagliari

7th in table

WWWDL

39' Eddy Kouadio

47' Gustavo Varela

66' Jay Robinson

76' Harry Winks

79' Gustavo Varela

82' Samuele Birindelli

82' Alieu Fadera

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.57 (87% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Cagliari

87% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.50 37% implied

Draw

3.10 30% implied

Away Win

2.90 32% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.57

Mega Tip Unlock VIP

Stadio Brianteo, Monza Andrea Calzavara

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

4games

1Monza wins

1Draws

2Cagliari wins

2.3Goals per game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

30 Mar 2025Serie A Cagliari

3 - 0

Monza

05 Jan 2025Serie A Monza

1 - 2

Cagliari

16 Mar 2024Serie A Monza

1 - 0

Cagliari

26 Nov 2023Serie A Cagliari

1 - 1

Monza

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19	WWDWW
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19	WWWDW
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17	WDDWW
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15	WDWDD
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14	WDLWW
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13	WLWDW
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	+3	13	DWWWL
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11	LDWLD
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10	LWDWL
10	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9	LWLLL
11	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9	WLLWL
12	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8	LDLWD
13	Torino	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7	WDLWL
14	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5	LWDLD
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4	LWLDL
16	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4	LWLDL
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4	LLLLL
18	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4	LWLDL
19	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4	LLDWL
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3	WLLLL

Top scorers

Serie A

A. Raimondo

Frosinone 7goals 0assists 7apps

D. Malen

AS Roma 6goals 0assists 6apps

M. Thuram

Inter 4goals 2assists 6apps

Lautaro Martínez

Inter 4goals 0assists 5apps

D. Maldini

Cagliari 4goals 0assists 6apps

Gustavo Varela

Monza 4goals 0assists 5apps

A. Rabiot

AC Milan 3goals 2assists 6apps

G. Kvernadze

Frosinone 3goals 1assists 7apps

Vasilije Adžić

Sassuolo 3goals 1assists 6apps

N. Krstović

Atalanta 3goals 1assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

27% 24% 49%

API-Football

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker

37% 30% 32%

Monza Draw Cagliari

Value spotted: Cagliari win at 2.90 (model 49% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%

0-1 10%

1-2 9.5%

0-2 8.3%

1-0 7%

2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Monza · 1.65 Cagliari

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams score55%

Team comparison

29%

Form

71%

62%

Attack

38%

21%

Defence

79%

18%

Goal model

82%

36%

Head to head

64%

33%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

66%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10

19 Oct 2026Serie A Monza

4 - 0

Cagliari W

11 Oct 2026Serie A Lazio

3 - 1

Monza L

03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Stade Brestois 29

2 - 2

Monza D

26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Monza

2 - 3

Cremonese L

18 Sep 2026Serie A Monza

2 - 1

Sassuolo W

13 Sep 2026Serie A Lecce

3 - 2

Monza L

06 Sep 2026Serie A Parma

1 - 1

Monza D

01 Sep 2026Coppa Italia Torino

0 - 1

Monza W

29 Aug 2026Serie A Monza

2 - 3

Udinese L

22 Aug 2026Serie A Inter

4 - 1

Monza L

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10

19 Oct 2026Serie A Monza

4 - 0

Cagliari L

11 Oct 2026Serie A Cagliari

1 - 1

Juventus D

19 Sep 2026Serie A Udinese

0 - 1

Cagliari W

12 Sep 2026Serie A Atalanta

1 - 2

Cagliari W

07 Sep 2026Serie A Cagliari

1 - 0

Lecce W

03 Sep 2026Coppa Italia Cagliari

1 - 2

Hellas Verona L

30 Aug 2026Serie A Cagliari

0 - 1

Inter L

22 Aug 2026Serie A Parma

0 - 1

Cagliari W

14 Aug 2026Coppa Italia Cagliari

1 - 0

Arezzo W

08 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Cagliari

0 - 0

Nice D

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Monza Cagliari

Side by side

Monza Cagliari

6 Played 6

1 Won 4

1 Drawn 1

4 Lost 1

1.5 Goals scored per game 1

2.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5

2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 1.3

0 Clean sheets 3

0 Failed to score 1

1 Longest winning run 3

2-1 Biggest win 1-0

2-3 Biggest defeat 0-1

1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Monza

Torino (A) 23 Oct

Napoli (H) 28 Oct

Bologna (A) 31 Oct

Atalanta (H) 08 Nov

Fiorentina (H) 23 Nov

Cagliari

Bologna (H) 24 Oct

AS Roma (A) 27 Oct

Lazio (A) 01 Nov

Frosinone (H) 07 Nov

Como (A) 21 Nov

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Monza

L. Lucchesi Red Card

Y. Maye Muscle Injury

M. Pessina Knee Injury

I. Toure Knee Injury

E. Zeballos Knee Injury

J. Ziolkowski Foot Injury

Cagliari

M. Felici Knee Injury

R. Idrissi Knee Injury

Y. Trepy Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Monza 2.50 40% implied

Draw 3.10 32% implied

Cagliari 2.90 34% implied

Monza 1.67 60% implied

Cagliari 2.10 48% implied

Over 0.5 1.07 93% implied

Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied

Over 1.5 1.33 75% implied

Under 1.5 3.40 29% implied

Over 2.5 2.00 50% implied

Under 2.5 1.80 56% implied

Over 3.5 3.50 29% implied

Under 3.5 1.30 77% implied

Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied

Under 4.5 1.10 91% implied

Monza/Draw 13.00 8% implied

Monza/Cagliari 29.00 3% implied

Draw/Cagliari 7.00 14% implied Our tip

Draw/Draw 5.00 20% implied

Monza/Monza 3.75 27% implied

Draw/Monza 5.50 18% implied

Cagliari/Monza 26.00 4% implied

Cagliari/Draw 15.00 7% implied

Cagliari/Cagliari 5.00 20% implied

Yes 1.80 56% implied

No 1.95 51% implied

1:1 6.00 17% implied

1:0 8.00 13% implied

0:0 9.00 11% implied

2:1 9.50 11% implied

0:1 9.50 11% implied

2:0 11.00 9% implied

1:2 12.00 8% implied

2:2 13.00 8% implied

Monza/Draw 1.36 74% implied

Monza/Cagliari 1.36 74% implied

Draw/Cagliari 1.57 64% implied Our tip

Monza 3.00 33% implied

Draw 2.10 48% implied

Cagliari 3.60 28% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Monza vs Cagliari: preview and prediction

Monza host Cagliari in the Italy Serie A (Regular Season - 7) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:30 at Stadio Brianteo, Monza. Monza sit 15th in the table and Cagliari 7th. Cagliari are 9 points ahead (13 to 4).

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	+3	13
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4

Full Serie A standings

Monza have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-W). Cagliari are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Monza won 1, Cagliari won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Monza and 1.65 for Cagliari. It gives Cagliari the edge (27% home win, 24% draw, 49% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.57.

Monza vs Cagliari FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monza vs Cagliari?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?

Cagliari are favourites: our model gives Monza 27%, the draw 24% and Cagliari 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monza vs Cagliari?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:30 at Stadio Brianteo, Monza.

Who is the referee?

Andrea Calzavara is in charge of this game.

Monza vs Cagliari

Italy: Serie A

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

Match Odds · Bet365

All Our Tips For This Match

Head to head

Serie A table

Top scorers

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Recent form

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Missing players

Betting markets

Monza vs Cagliari: preview and prediction

Monza vs Cagliari FAQs

More Serie A Tips