Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka

Match Analysis & Predictions

Japan: J1 League

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 04:00 Regular Season - 10
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
10th in table
WWWLD
2 VS 2
Finished
HT 2 - 0
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
18th in table
WLLWD
9' Yuki Honda
23' Ryoya Yamashita
24' Ryo Hatsuse
42' Kai Matsuzaki
47' Hidehiro Sugai
75' Takayuki Yoshida
84' Ryotaro Meshino
90+5' Issam Jebali

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.35 (82% chance) Won

Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw
82% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.25 41% implied

Draw

3.25 28% implied

Away Win

3.00 31% implied
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka Keigo Sendachi

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Shimizu S-pulse wins
4Draws
3Gamba Osaka wins
1.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
24 May 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
28 Feb 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Shimizu S-pulse
15 Jun 2025J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 0 Gamba Osaka
08 Mar 2025J1 League Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Shimizu S-pulse
14 Aug 2022J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 Shimizu S-pulse
10 Apr 2022J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
13 Aug 2021J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka
18 Apr 2021J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Shimizu S-pulse
19 Dec 2020J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 Shimizu S-pulse

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10721 25:6 +19 23 WWWWL
2 FC Tokyo 10721 21:8 +13 23 WWWWW
3 Kashiwa Reysol 10703 22:17 +5 21 LWWWL
4 Machida Zelvia 9621 22:10 +12 20 WLDWW
5 Kashima 10613 21:16 +5 19 WWDLL
6 Vissel Kobe 9612 14:9 +5 19 LWWWW
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10442 21:16 +5 16 WLDWW
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10442 13:9 +4 16 DDWDW
9 Urawa 10505 17:21 -4 15 WLWLW
10 Shimizu S-pulse 10424 10:11 -1 14 DWWWL
11 Fagiano Okayama 9414 12:12 0 13 LLWWW
12 Nagoya Grampus 10406 12:16 -4 12 WWLLL
13 Cerezo Osaka 10334 9:16 -7 12 LDDLD
14 Mito Hollyhock 10235 12:14 -2 9 LLLLD
15 V-varen Nagasaki 10235 11:18 -7 9 LDDWL
16 Kyoto Sanga 10226 11:19 -8 8 LLWLL
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9216 11:13 -2 7 WLLDL
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7 DLLLL
19 JEF United Chiba 10136 8:19 -11 6 DDLDW
20 Tokyo Verdy 10046 4:18 -14 4 LLLDD

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 11goals 0assists 8apps
2 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 9apps
3 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 7goals 3assists 9apps
4 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 6goals 1assists 9apps
6 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6goals 1assists 9apps
7 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 5goals 3assists 9apps
8 A. WatanabeMito Hollyhock 5goals 0assists 8apps
9 H. MinaminoUrawa 4goals 0assists 9apps
10 S. AnzaiFC Tokyo 4goals 0assists 8apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Shimizu S-pulse Draw Gamba Osaka
Value spotted: Shimizu S-pulse win at 2.25 (model 51% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.5%
1-1 12.4%
0-0 11.1%
2-0 10.9%
0-1 8.9%
2-1 8.7%

Expected goals: 1.4 Shimizu S-pulse · 0.8 Gamba Osaka

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
91%
Form
9%
78%
Attack
22%
60%
Defence
40%
68%
Goal model
32%
29%
Head to head
71%
45%
Goals
55%
61%
Overall
38%

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Yokohama F. Marinos 2 - 1 Shimizu S-pulse L
11 Oct 2026J1 League Mito Hollyhock 1 - 2 Shimizu S-pulse W
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kanazawa 0 - 2 Shimizu S-pulse W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 JEF United Chiba W
12 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka W
06 Sep 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 1 Shimizu S-pulse L
02 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 1 FC Tokyo D
29 Aug 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka L
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Kashiwa Reysol 5 - 4 Gamba Osaka L
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Gamba Osaka 5 - 0 Tokushima Vortis W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe L
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Gamba Osaka 4 - 1 Công An Nhân Dân W
12 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo L
06 Sep 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka L
02 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
5
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
7
Shimizu S-pulse Gamba Osaka

Side by side

Shimizu S-pulse Gamba Osaka
9 Played 9
4 Won 1
1 Drawn 3
4 Lost 5
0.9 Goals scored per game 0.9
1 Goals conceded per game 1.8
0.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.8
2 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 4-3
0-1 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia (H) 21 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A) 24 Oct
Kyoto Sanga (A) 31 Oct
Tokyo Verdy (H) 07 Nov
Kashima (A) 20 Nov
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka (A) 21 Oct
Kyoto Sanga (H) 24 Oct
Buriram United (H) 28 Oct
Machida Zelvia (A) 01 Nov
Pohang Steelers (A) 04 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Shimizu S-pulse 2.25 44% implied
Draw 3.25 31% implied
Gamba Osaka 3.00 33% implied
Shimizu S-pulse 1.80 56% implied
Gamba Osaka 1.91 52% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50 29% implied
Over 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Under 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Over 3.5 3.25 31% implied
Under 3.5 1.33 75% implied
Over 4.5 6.50 15% implied
Under 4.5 1.11 90% implied
Shimizu S-pulse/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Shimizu S-pulse/Gamba Osaka 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Gamba Osaka 7.00 14% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Shimizu S-pulse/Shimizu S-pulse 3.75 27% implied
Draw/Shimizu S-pulse 5.50 18% implied
Gamba Osaka/Shimizu S-pulse 23.00 4% implied
Gamba Osaka/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Gamba Osaka/Gamba Osaka 4.75 21% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 6.00 17% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
0:1 9.50 11% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
0:0 10.00 10% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Shimizu S-pulse/Draw 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Shimizu S-pulse/Gamba Osaka 1.33 75% implied
Draw/Gamba Osaka 1.62 62% implied
Shimizu S-pulse 2.88 35% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Gamba Osaka 3.50 29% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: preview and prediction

Shimizu S-pulse host Gamba Osaka in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 04:00 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. Shimizu S-pulse sit 10th in the table and Gamba Osaka 18th. Shimizu S-pulse are 7 points ahead (14 to 7).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
10 Shimizu S-pulse 10424 10:11 -1 14
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7

Full J1 League standings

Shimizu S-pulse are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-D). Gamba Osaka have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 2, Gamba Osaka won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Shimizu S-pulse and 0.8 for Gamba Osaka. It gives Shimizu S-pulse the edge (51% home win, 27% draw, 21% away win), 38% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.35.

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka FAQs

What is the best prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.35 odds).

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-pulse are favourites: our model gives Shimizu S-pulse 51%, the draw 27% and Gamba Osaka 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 04:00 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.

Who is the referee?

Keigo Sendachi is in charge of this game.

More J1 League Tips

07:00 Chiba Yokohama F. Marinos X2 07:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Kyoto 1 07:00 Verdy FC Tokyo X2 08:00 Cerezo Osaka Kawasaki Frontale X2 08:00 Kashima Antlers V-Varen Nagasaki 1 12:00 Kashiwa Reysol Nagoya Grampus 1