Villarreal vs Elche

Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain: La Liga

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 14:15 Regular Season - 9
Villarreal Villarreal
10th in table
WWLWD
0 VS 0
Finished
HT 0 - 0
Elche Elche
18th in table
DLWDD
38' Gonzalo Villar
71' Tete Morente
75' Roy Revivo
81' Alex Freeman
90+1' Víctor Chust
90+1' Juan Foyth

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.44 (66% chance) Lost

Double chance : Villarreal or draw
66% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.45 65% implied

Draw

5.00 19% implied

Away Win

6.00 16% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.44
Double Chance 1X @ 1.12
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.57
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal Victor Garcia Verdura

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Villarreal wins
2Draws
2Elche wins
2.9Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
08 Mar 2026La Liga Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
03 Jan 2026La Liga Elche 1 - 3 Villarreal
04 Feb 2023La Liga Elche 3 - 1 Villarreal
04 Sep 2022La Liga Villarreal 4 - 0 Elche
16 Jan 2022La Liga Elche 1 - 0 Villarreal
22 Sep 2021La Liga Villarreal 4 - 1 Elche
06 Feb 2021La Liga Elche 2 - 2 Villarreal
06 Dec 2020La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche
10 May 2015La Liga Villarreal 1 - 0 Elche

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 9900 39:9 +30 27 WWWWW
2 Atletico Madrid 9711 19:8 +11 22 WWWWW
3 Real Betis 9612 16:14 +2 19 LWDWW
4 Real Madrid 8602 19:8 +11 18 WLWWL
5 Sevilla 8422 13:12 +1 14 DLWWD
6 Real Sociedad 8413 12:15 -3 13 WWLWD
7 Alaves 8323 12:8 +4 11 LDLLW
8 Deportivo La Coruna 9252 13:12 +1 11 DLDLD
9 Athletic Club 7232 7:6 +1 9 DDDW
10 Villarreal 9234 13:13 0 9 DLWWL
11 Celta Vigo 8152 8:6 +2 8 DWDDD
12 Espanyol 9225 11:12 -1 8 LDLLW
13 Rayo Vallecano 7223 11:16 -5 8 DWLW
14 Getafe 8224 4:10 -6 8 LWLDD
15 Racing Santander 8224 13:23 -10 8 DLLWL
16 Osasuna 8224 8:18 -10 8 LDLLL
17 Levante 8143 12:16 -4 7 DDLLD
18 Elche 9144 11:17 -6 7 DDWLD
19 Valencia 9135 6:15 -9 6 DDLWL
20 Malaga 8044 4:13 -9 4 DLLDD

Top scorers

La Liga
1 RaphinhaBarcelona 12goals 3assists 7apps
2 Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 7goals 1assists 8apps
3 M. ZabiriRacing Santander 7goals 0assists 8apps
4 Lamine YamalBarcelona 7goals 5assists 8apps
5 Kylian MbappéReal Madrid 7goals 2assists 8apps
6 Roberto FernándezEspanyol 6goals 0assists 8apps
7 A. BudimirOsasuna 6goals 0assists 8apps
8 P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna 5goals 2assists 7apps
9 Fer NiñoElche 5goals 0assists 8apps
10 L. BoyéAlaves 5goals 0assists 7apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Villarreal Draw Elche
Value spotted: Elche win at 6.00 (model 42% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.6%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
1-3 5.2%
0-1 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.75 Villarreal · 1.9 Elche

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score70%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
53%
Attack
47%
50%
Defence
50%
40%
Goal model
60%
60%
Head to head
40%
63%
Goals
38%
53%
Overall
46%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal L
20 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante W
17 Sep 2026La Liga Malaga 1 - 3 Villarreal W
14 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis L
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal L
05 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruna L
28 Aug 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal L
23 Aug 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Villarreal D
1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
11 Oct 2026La Liga Elche 0 - 0 Celta Vigo D
18 Sep 2026La Liga Espanyol 1 - 3 Elche W
15 Sep 2026La Liga Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid L
12 Sep 2026La Liga Athletic Club 1 - 1 Elche D
07 Sep 2026La Liga Elche 2 - 3 Real Sociedad L
28 Aug 2026La Liga Racing Santander 3 - 2 Elche L
23 Aug 2026La Liga Elche 0 - 5 Barcelona L
17 Aug 2026La Liga Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 1 Elche D
31 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Elche 2 - 2 Cordoba D

Season numbers

La Liga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
3
Villarreal Elche

Side by side

Villarreal Elche
8 Played 8
2 Won 1
2 Drawn 3
4 Lost 4
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.6 Goals conceded per game 2.1
2 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.8
0 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 1-3
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-5
3/3 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Villarreal
Liverpool (A) 20 Oct
Valencia (A) 24 Oct
Manacor (A) 27 Oct
Espanyol (H) 30 Oct
Paris Saint Germain (H) 03 Nov
Elche
Rayo Vallecano (A) 24 Oct
Pinatar (A) 27 Oct
Valencia (H) 01 Nov
Real Betis (H) 08 Nov
Levante (A) 22 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Villarreal
T. Buchanan Muscle Injury
N. Pepe Eye injury
Elche
No reported absences.

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Villarreal 1.45 69% implied Our tip
Draw 5.00 20% implied
Elche 6.00 17% implied
Villarreal 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Elche 5.50 18% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12 89% implied
Under 1.5 6.00 17% implied
Over 2.5 1.40 71% implied
Under 2.5 3.00 33% implied
Over 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 3.5 1.80 56% implied
Over 4.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 4.5 1.33 75% implied
Villarreal/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Villarreal/Elche 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Elche 15.00 7% implied
Draw/Draw 8.50 12% implied
Villarreal/Villarreal 2.00 50% implied
Draw/Villarreal 4.50 22% implied
Elche/Villarreal 17.00 6% implied
Elche/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Elche/Elche 11.00 9% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied
No 2.25 44% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
2:0 9.00 11% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
1:1 10.00 10% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
3:0 11.00 9% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
4:0 17.00 6% implied
Villarreal/Draw 1.12 89% implied Our tip
Villarreal/Elche 1.17 85% implied
Draw/Elche 2.75 36% implied
Villarreal 1.80 56% implied Our tip
Draw 2.75 36% implied
Elche 6.00 17% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Villarreal vs Elche: preview and prediction

Villarreal host Elche in the Spain La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:15 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Villarreal sit 10th in the table and Elche 18th. Villarreal are 2 points ahead (9 to 7).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
10 Villarreal 9234 13:13 0 9
18 Elche 9144 11:17 -6 7

Full La Liga standings

Villarreal are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-D). Elche have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Villarreal won 5, Elche won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Villarreal and 1.9 for Elche. It gives Elche the edge (36% home win, 22% draw, 42% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.44. We also like Double Chance (1X), Both Teams Score (BTS).

Villarreal vs Elche FAQs

What is the best prediction for Villarreal vs Elche?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?

Elche are favourites: our model gives Villarreal 36%, the draw 22% and Elche 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 70% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Villarreal vs Elche?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:15 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.

Who is the referee?

Victor Garcia Verdura is in charge of this game.

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