HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan

Match Analysis & Predictions

Finland: Veikkausliiga

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 13:00 Championship Group - 28
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
3rd in table
DDWWW
4 VS 0
Finished
HT 0 - 0
Gnistan Gnistan
4th in table
WDDLL
12' Gabriel Europaeus
30' Artur Atarah
47' Sergey Eremenko
50' Mads Borchers
53' Edmund Arko-Mensah
60' Santeri Haarala
66' Mads Borchers
90+2' Mads Borchers

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

BTS @ 1.57 (80% chance) Lost

Double chance : HJK Helsinki or draw
80% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.45 63% implied

Draw

4.33 21% implied

Away Win

5.50 16% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.57
Home Win 1 @ 1.40
Double Chance 1X @ 1.11
Bolt Arena, Helsinki Peiman Simani

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4HJK Helsinki wins
2Draws
3Gnistan wins
3.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
18 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 1 - 1 HJK Helsinki
23 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan
18 Apr 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 0 - 3 HJK Helsinki
10 Mar 2026Friendlies Clubs HJK Helsinki 3 - 0 Gnistan
07 Feb 2026League Cup HJK Helsinki 3 - 1 Gnistan
03 Nov 2025Veikkausliiga Gnistan 2 - 2 HJK Helsinki
03 Oct 2025Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan
28 Jul 2025Veikkausliiga Gnistan 2 - 4 HJK Helsinki
22 Apr 2025Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 0 - 1 Gnistan

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 KuPS 221273 38:23 +15 43 LLWDD
2 Inter Turku 221192 29:16 +13 42 LWDWW
3 HJK Helsinki 221147 36:27 +9 37 WWWDD
4 Gnistan 221066 36:29 +7 36 LLDDW
5 AC Oulu 221048 25:25 0 34 WLWLL
6 VPS 22967 29:22 +7 33 WLLLW
7 Lahti 22958 26:19 +7 32 WLDLW
8 Turku PS 22877 28:23 +5 31 LLLLD
9 Ilves 227411 34:37 -3 25 WDWWW
10 SJK 224711 25:33 -8 19 LWWDD
11 FF Jaro 223613 18:44 -26 15 DWDDL
12 Mariehamn 223514 17:43 -26 14 DDLWL

Top scorers

Veikkausliiga
1 M. BorchersHJK Helsinki 9goals 1assists 25apps
2 T. HytönenIlves 8goals 0assists 26apps
3 H. SjögrellInter Turku 6goals 2assists 27apps
4 J. MorenoKuPS 5goals 0assists 24apps
5 L. SmythVPS 5goals 0assists 14apps
6 T. PukkiHJK Helsinki 4goals 2assists 25apps
7 Martim FerreiraLahti 4goals 1assists 23apps
8 J. KangaIlves 4goals 3assists 20apps
9 E. TamminenIlves 3goals 2assists 7apps
10 J. Luyeye-LutumbaKuPS 3goals 1assists 26apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
HJK Helsinki Draw Gnistan
Value spotted: Gnistan win at 5.50 (model 31% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.8%
1-0 9.4%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 7.6%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.55 HJK Helsinki · 1.25 Gnistan

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
65%
Form
35%
76%
Attack
24%
44%
Defence
56%
52%
Goal model
48%
71%
Head to head
29%
71%
Goals
29%
63%
Overall
36%

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 4 - 0 Gnistan W
12 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga AC Oulu 3 - 4 HJK Helsinki W
08 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 6 - 0 VPS W
18 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 1 - 1 HJK Helsinki D
13 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga KuPS 0 - 0 HJK Helsinki D
09 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 2 - 1 Inter Turku W
05 Sep 2026Suomen Cup Inter Turku 1 - 0 HJK Helsinki L
31 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga Ilves 1 - 2 HJK Helsinki W
23 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan L
16 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 3 - 0 FF Jaro W
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 4 - 0 Gnistan L
12 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga VPS 1 - 0 Gnistan L
07 Oct 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 0 - 0 Inter Turku D
18 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 1 - 1 HJK Helsinki D
12 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga AC Oulu 1 - 2 Gnistan W
08 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 1 - 1 KuPS D
31 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 1 - 1 Turku PS D
23 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan W
17 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga Gnistan 3 - 2 Ilves W
07 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga SJK 2 - 2 Gnistan D

Season numbers

Veikkausliiga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
7
9
16-30'
5
10
31-45'
4
8
46-60'
6
11
61-75'
8
9
76-90'
7
3
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
8
5
61-75'
3
7
76-90'
8
HJK Helsinki Gnistan

Side by side

HJK Helsinki Gnistan
27 Played 27
14 Won 11
6 Drawn 9
7 Lost 7
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.3
10 Clean sheets 6
6 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 3
6-0 Biggest win 5-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 1-5
3/3 Penalties scored 3/3

What comes next

HJK Helsinki
KuPS (H) 25 Oct
Inter Turku (A) 29 Oct
VPS (A) 02 Nov
AC Oulu (H) 08 Nov
Gnistan
AC Oulu (H) 24 Oct
KuPS (A) 29 Oct
Inter Turku (A) 02 Nov
VPS (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
HJK Helsinki 1.45 69% implied Our tip
Draw 4.33 23% implied
Gnistan 5.50 18% implied
HJK Helsinki 1.12 89% implied Our tip
Gnistan 6.00 17% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.48 68% implied
Under 2.5 2.60 38% implied
Over 3.5 2.10 48% implied
Under 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
HJK Helsinki/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
HJK Helsinki/Gnistan 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Gnistan 15.00 7% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50 13% implied
HJK Helsinki/HJK Helsinki 2.10 48% implied
Draw/HJK Helsinki 4.33 23% implied
Gnistan/HJK Helsinki 17.00 6% implied
Gnistan/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Gnistan/Gnistan 11.00 9% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
2:0 8.00 13% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
1:1 9.50 11% implied
3:0 10.00 10% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
4:0 17.00 6% implied
4:1 17.00 6% implied
HJK Helsinki/Draw 1.10 91% implied Our tip
HJK Helsinki/Gnistan 1.18 85% implied
Draw/Gnistan 2.62 38% implied
HJK Helsinki 1.83 55% implied Our tip
Draw 2.62 38% implied
Gnistan 6.00 17% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan: preview and prediction

HJK Helsinki host Gnistan in the Finland Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 28) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 13:00 at Bolt Arena, Helsinki. HJK Helsinki sit 3rd in the table and Gnistan 4th. HJK Helsinki are 1 point ahead (37 to 36).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 HJK Helsinki 221147 36:27 +9 37
4 Gnistan 221066 36:29 +7 36

Full Veikkausliiga standings

HJK Helsinki are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-W). Gnistan have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, HJK Helsinki won 4, Gnistan won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.25 for Gnistan. It gives HJK Helsinki the edge (44% home win, 25% draw, 31% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Both Teams Score (BTS) at odds of 1.57. We also like Home Win (1), Double Chance (1X).

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan FAQs

What is the best prediction for HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: BTS (1.57 odds).

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

HJK Helsinki are favourites: our model gives HJK Helsinki 44%, the draw 25% and Gnistan 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 13:00 at Bolt Arena, Helsinki.

Who is the referee?

Peiman Simani is in charge of this game.

More Veikkausliiga Tips

13:00 Ilves SJK 1X 13:00 Jaro Mariehamn 1X 13:00 Lahti TPS 1 17:00 Inter Turku AC Oulu 1