Monterrey vs CF Pachuca

Match Analysis & Predictions

Mexico: Liga MX

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 01:00 Apertura - 12
Monterrey Monterrey
12th in table
DWLWD
2 VS 1
Finished
HT 2 - 0
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
14th in table
WWDLD
13' Diego Rossi
16' Jesús Corona
22' Lucas Ocampos
56' Rodolfo Pizarro
75' Salomón Rondón
84' Sergio Barreto
85' Gerardo Arteaga
85' Carlos Moreno
88' Óliver Torres

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.18 (62% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or CF Pachuca
62% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.65 58% implied

Draw

4.10 23% implied

Away Win

5.00 19% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.18
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.60
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey Cesar Arturo Ramos

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
4Monterrey wins
0Draws
6CF Pachuca wins
3.4Goals per game
60%Both scored
70%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 3 CF Pachuca
13 Jul 2025Liga MX CF Pachuca 3 - 0 Monterrey
28 Apr 2025Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 2 CF Pachuca
26 Jan 2025Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 3 CF Pachuca
08 Jul 2024Liga MX CF Pachuca 0 - 1 Monterrey
11 Feb 2024Liga MX Monterrey 3 - 2 CF Pachuca
05 Nov 2023Liga MX CF Pachuca 0 - 2 Monterrey
13 Mar 2023Liga MX CF Pachuca 1 - 2 Monterrey
24 Oct 2022Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 1 CF Pachuca
21 Oct 2022Liga MX CF Pachuca 5 - 2 Monterrey

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 11731 27:14 +13 24 WDWDL
2 Toluca 12633 26:16 +10 21 DLDLW
3 Atlas 12633 19:18 +1 21 WDWDL
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12552 19:12 +7 20 DDLDW
5 Cruz Azul 12624 27:21 +6 20 WDDLW
6 Club Queretaro 11623 15:13 +2 20 LWWDW
7 Leon 12534 18:17 +1 18 LDWDW
8 Santos Laguna 12516 17:16 +1 16 WWWWW
9 Club Tijuana 11443 15:14 +1 16 DDLDL
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12444 19:20 -1 16 WDLDL
11 Puebla 12444 12:13 -1 16 DDLDL
12 Monterrey 10424 17:15 +2 14 DLWDL
13 Tigres UANL 12354 14:16 -2 14 DWWLD
14 CF Pachuca 11344 18:14 +4 13 DLDWW
15 Atletico San Luis 12345 16:21 -5 13 DLWWL
16 Atlante FC 12255 13:19 -6 11 LLWDL
17 Necaxa 12237 15:25 -10 9 LDLLL
18 FC Juarez 121110 8:31 -23 4 LDLWL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 12goals 0assists 11apps
2 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 12apps
3 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 7goals 4assists 12apps
4 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 11apps
5 H. MartínClub America 7goals 3assists 10apps
6 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 12apps
7 Tahiel Adrián Jiménez SánchezSantos Laguna 5goals 0assists 3apps
8 F. ViñasToluca 5goals 0assists 9apps
9 L. OcamposMonterrey 5goals 1assists 8apps
10 S. HomenchenkoClub Queretaro 5goals 2assists 11apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Monterrey Draw CF Pachuca
Value spotted: CF Pachuca win at 5.00 (model 37% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
0-1 9.1%
1-0 9.1%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.35 Monterrey · 1.35 CF Pachuca

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
33%
Attack
67%
43%
Defence
57%
35%
Goal model
65%
20%
Head to head
80%
31%
Goals
69%
33%
Overall
66%

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Liga MX Club America 1 - 1 Monterrey D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca W
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 4 - 2 Monterrey L
20 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul W
13 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL D
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey L
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Club America 2 - 2 Monterrey D
31 Aug 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis L
26 Aug 2026Leagues Cup Monterrey 2 - 1 Chicago Fire W
22 Aug 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 3 - 3 Necaxa D
27 Sep 2026Liga MX Santos Laguna 1 - 0 CF Pachuca L
21 Sep 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 0 - 3 CF Pachuca W
05 Sep 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca W
29 Aug 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas D
23 Aug 2026Liga MX Atletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca D
18 Aug 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla L
11 Aug 2026Leagues Cup Charlotte 0 - 1 CF Pachuca W
07 Aug 2026Leagues Cup Columbus Crew 2 - 1 CF Pachuca L

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
5
76-90'
4
Monterrey CF Pachuca

Side by side

Monterrey CF Pachuca
10 Played 11
4 Won 3
2 Drawn 4
4 Lost 4
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2.2 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.5
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 2
6-1 Biggest win 0-3
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-3
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

Monterrey
CF Pachuca (H) 19 Oct
Puebla (A) 22 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas (H) 25 Oct
Club Tijuana (H) 01 Nov
Toluca (A) 08 Nov
CF Pachuca
Monterrey (A) 19 Oct
Cruz Azul (H) 22 Oct
Club America (A) 25 Oct
Tigres UANL (H) 31 Oct
Atlas (A) 07 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Monterrey 1.65 61% implied
Draw 4.10 24% implied
CF Pachuca 5.00 20% implied
Monterrey 1.25 80% implied
CF Pachuca 3.75 27% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00 20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57 64% implied
Under 2.5 2.35 43% implied
Over 3.5 2.25 44% implied
Under 3.5 1.57 64% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.22 82% implied
Monterrey/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Monterrey/CF Pachuca 34.00 3% implied
Draw/CF Pachuca 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
Monterrey/Monterrey 2.50 40% implied
Draw/Monterrey 4.75 21% implied
CF Pachuca/Monterrey 19.00 5% implied
CF Pachuca/Draw 15.00 7% implied
CF Pachuca/CF Pachuca 8.00 13% implied
Yes 1.62 62% implied
No 2.20 45% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
2:0 9.50 11% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
0:0 17.00 6% implied
Monterrey/Draw 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Monterrey/CF Pachuca 1.22 82% implied
Draw/CF Pachuca 2.25 44% implied
Monterrey 2.10 48% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
CF Pachuca 4.75 21% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca: preview and prediction

Monterrey host CF Pachuca in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey. Monterrey sit 12th in the table and CF Pachuca 14th. Monterrey are 1 point ahead (14 to 13).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
12 Monterrey 10424 17:15 +2 14
14 CF Pachuca 11344 18:14 +4 13

Full Liga MX standings

Monterrey have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-D). CF Pachuca have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Monterrey won 4, CF Pachuca won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Monterrey and 1.35 for CF Pachuca. It gives Monterrey the edge (37% home win, 26% draw, 37% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.18. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.18 odds).

Who will win Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

It looks very close: our model gives Monterrey 37%, the draw 26% and CF Pachuca 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.

Who is the referee?

Cesar Arturo Ramos is in charge of this game.