Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets

Match Analysis & Predictions

Ukraine: Premier League

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 10:00 Regular Season - 9
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
6th in table
DLWWW
2 VS 1
Finished
HT 1 - 1
Chornomorets Chornomorets
14th in table
DLDLL
27' Maksym Boyko
45+3' Christian Mba
48' Igor Perduta
60' Dejan Popara
74' Pylyp Budkivskyi
88' Muhammed Jobe
89' Bogdan Kushnirenko
90+2' Vasyl Kravets
90+2' M. Jarju

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.53 (59% chance) Won

Combo Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw and -3.5 goals
59% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.55 58% implied

Draw

3.50 25% implied

Away Win

5.25 17% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.53
Double Chance 1X @ 1.13
Free Tip 1 @ 1.53
Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia Aleksandr Shandor

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Zorya Luhansk wins
1Draws
2Chornomorets wins
2.6Goals per game
50%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
23 Aug 2025Cup Chornomorets 2 - 1 Zorya Luhansk
14 Dec 2024Premier League Zorya Luhansk 2 - 1 Chornomorets
10 Aug 2024Premier League Chornomorets 0 - 1 Zorya Luhansk
14 Apr 2024Premier League Zorya Luhansk 1 - 0 Chornomorets
01 Nov 2023Cup Chornomorets 4 - 1 Zorya Luhansk
30 Sep 2023Premier League Chornomorets 0 - 0 Zorya Luhansk
29 Apr 2023Premier League Zorya Luhansk 3 - 1 Chornomorets
18 Oct 2022Premier League Chornomorets 0 - 4 Zorya Luhansk

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 9801 20:5 +15 24 WWWWW
2 Polessya 8611 17:7 +10 19 DWWWW
3 Dynamo Kyiv 7511 10:5 +5 16 WWWDL
4 FC Kharkiv 7502 14:5 +9 15 WWWWL
5 Karpaty 8422 15:6 +9 14 LDWLD
6 Zorya Luhansk 9423 12:13 -1 14 WWLDD
7 LNZ Cherkasy 8323 7:9 -2 11 WLWDL
8 Veres Rivne 9234 6:11 -5 9 LLWDD
9 Kolos Kovalivka 8224 10:13 -3 8 LWWLD
10 Bukovyna 9153 7:12 -5 8 LDLDD
11 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 8224 7:10 -3 8 LLLDW
12 Livyi Bereh 7142 5:6 -1 7 LWLDD
13 Obolon'-Brovar 8143 4:12 -8 7 WDLL
14 Chornomorets 8125 5:11 -6 5 LLDLD
15 Kudrivka 9126 10:21 -11 5 WLLLL
16 Kryvbas KR 6123 7:10 -3 5 LDLD

Top scorers

Premier League
1 B. ZabërgjaFC Kharkiv 2goals 1assists 8apps
2 C. ParacoFC Kharkiv 2goals 0assists 8apps
3 V. SydunEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 2goals 0assists 8apps
4 O. OcheretkoShakhtar Donetsk 2goals 0assists 7apps
5 D. NdukweKolos Kovalivka 2goals 0assists 7apps
6 M. PonomarenkoDynamo Kyiv 2goals 0assists 7apps
7 N. VorobchakLivyi Bereh 2goals 0assists 7apps
8 P. ItodoFC Kharkiv 2goals 1assists 8apps
9 K. PopovChornomorets 2goals 0assists 7apps
10 TallesLNZ Cherkasy 2goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Zorya Luhansk Draw Chornomorets
Value spotted: Chornomorets win at 5.25 (model 35% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
1-0 9.4%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8%
0-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.4 Zorya Luhansk · 1.3 Chornomorets

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
63%
Attack
38%
38%
Defence
62%
100%
Goal model
0%
60%
Head to head
40%
46%
Goals
54%
51%
Overall
48%

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Zorya Luhansk 2 - 1 Chornomorets W
12 Oct 2026Premier League Livyi Bereh 1 - 3 Zorya Luhansk W
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 2 Zorya Luhansk W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Zorya Luhansk 0 - 2 Dynamo Kyiv L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Bukovyna 1 - 1 Zorya Luhansk D
09 Sep 2026Cup Yarud Mariupol' 0 - 2 Zorya Luhansk W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Veres Rivne 1 - 1 Zorya Luhansk D
31 Aug 2026Premier League Zorya Luhansk 0 - 3 FC Kharkiv L
22 Aug 2026Cup Skala 1911 Stryi 0 - 6 Zorya Luhansk W
17 Aug 2026Premier League Polessya 1 - 2 Zorya Luhansk W
1 W 2 D 6 L in the last 9
17 Oct 2026Premier League Zorya Luhansk 2 - 1 Chornomorets L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chornomorets 1 - 2 FC Kharkiv L
18 Sep 2026Premier League Chornomorets 1 - 1 Obolon'-Brovar D
14 Sep 2026Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk 2 - 0 Chornomorets L
04 Sep 2026Premier League Chornomorets 0 - 0 Livyi Bereh D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chornomorets 1 - 0 Kryvbas KR W
23 Aug 2026Cup Vilkhivtsi 1 - 0 Chornomorets L
16 Aug 2026Premier League LNZ Cherkasy 2 - 0 Chornomorets L
02 Aug 2026Premier League Chornomorets 1 - 2 Polessya L

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
0
Zorya Luhansk Chornomorets

Side by side

Zorya Luhansk Chornomorets
8 Played 7
3 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
3 Lost 4
1.3 Goals scored per game 0.6
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.3
0.8 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 0
1 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 1-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk (A) 24 Oct
Kryvbas KR (H) 29 Oct
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (H) 31 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy (H) 07 Nov
Karpaty (A) 21 Nov
Chornomorets
Karpaty (H) 24 Oct
Veres Rivne (A) 31 Oct
Kudrivka (A) 07 Nov
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (H) 21 Nov
Dynamo Kyiv (A) 28 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Zorya Luhansk 1.55 65% implied Our tip
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Chornomorets 5.25 19% implied
Zorya Luhansk 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Chornomorets 4.33 23% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 8.50 12% implied
Over 1.5 1.25 80% implied
Under 1.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Under 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Over 3.5 3.25 31% implied
Under 3.5 1.33 75% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Zorya Luhansk/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Zorya Luhansk/Chornomorets 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Chornomorets 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Zorya Luhansk/Zorya Luhansk 2.40 42% implied
Draw/Zorya Luhansk 4.50 22% implied
Chornomorets/Zorya Luhansk 23.00 4% implied
Chornomorets/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Chornomorets/Chornomorets 8.50 12% implied
Yes 1.91 52% implied
No 1.80 56% implied
1:0 7.00 14% implied
2:0 7.50 13% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
3:0 11.00 9% implied
0:0 11.00 9% implied
3:1 13.00 8% implied
0:1 15.00 7% implied
Zorya Luhansk/Draw 1.11 90% implied Our tip
Zorya Luhansk/Chornomorets 1.22 82% implied
Draw/Chornomorets 2.20 45% implied
Zorya Luhansk 2.05 49% implied Our tip
Draw 2.25 44% implied
Chornomorets 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets: preview and prediction

Zorya Luhansk host Chornomorets in the Ukraine Premier League (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 10:00 at Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia. Zorya Luhansk sit 6th in the table and Chornomorets 14th. Zorya Luhansk are 9 points ahead (14 to 5).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
6 Zorya Luhansk 9423 12:13 -1 14
14 Chornomorets 8125 5:11 -6 5

Full Premier League standings

Zorya Luhansk are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W). Chornomorets are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 5, Chornomorets won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.3 for Chornomorets. It gives Zorya Luhansk the edge (39% home win, 26% draw, 35% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.53. We also like Double Chance (1X).

Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets FAQs

What is the best prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?

Zorya Luhansk are favourites: our model gives Zorya Luhansk 39%, the draw 26% and Chornomorets 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 10:00 at Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia.

Who is the referee?

Aleksandr Shandor is in charge of this game.

More Premier League Tips

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